FC Thun 52%Draw 21%Heart Of Midlothian 27%Expected goals 1.69 – 1.14
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: FC Thun to win @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Thun to win ✓52% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 5 November the UEFA Europa Conference League brings FC Thun against Heart Of Midlothian at Stockhorn Arena. Kick-off: 18:45 WAT. In the table, FC Thun are 20th, lower half, on 3 points after 3 matches; Heart Of Midlothian are 32nd (lower half) with 1. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Thun, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 5–4 win over Lausanne, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Heart Of Midlothian, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hibernian, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Thun 1.7 xG, Heart Of Midlothian 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Thun 52%, draw 21%, Heart Of Midlothian 27%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: FC Thun to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Thun 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Thun52%fair 1.94 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.60
Heart Of Midlothian27%fair 3.67 · @3.00
2.83Expected goals
1.69FC Thun xG
1.14Heart Of Midlothian xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: FC Thun 1.7 – 1.1 Heart Of Midlothian expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Thun to win✓
52%
1.94
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Draw no bet
FC Thun (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Heart Of Midlothian +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.25
First team to score
FC Thun to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Thun / FT FC Thun✓
31%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
FC Thun – last 6
WLLDLL
1 Nov
@ Lausanne
5–4
W
25 Oct
vs FC Lugano
2–3
L
22 Oct
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ FC Schaffhausen
1–1
D
15 Oct
@ Twente
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ FC Zurich
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
LDWLLD
1 Nov
vs Hibernian
1–2
L
28 Oct
vs Rangers
2–2
D
25 Oct
@ Motherwell
2–0
W
22 Oct
@ Trabzonspor
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Celtic
1–7
L
15 Oct
vs FC Nordsjaelland
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Thun and Heart Of Midlothian.
What is the prediction for FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
On our numbers FC Thun have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Heart Of Midlothian 27%.
How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our predicted score is FC Thun 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
