Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtalanta to win ✗76% · @1.14
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✓95% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Thursday 5 November: Atalanta v Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at New Balance Arena. In the table, Atalanta are 16th, upper half, on 4 points after 3 matches; Kairat Almaty are 27th (lower half) with 2. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atalanta, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Parma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Kairat Almaty, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Altay, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kairat Almaty, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Atalanta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atalanta 2.4 xG, Kairat Almaty 0.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atalanta 76%, draw 19%, Kairat Almaty 5%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atalanta 3–0 Kairat Almaty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atalanta76%fair 1.32 · @1.14
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @7.50
Kairat Almaty5%fair 19.14 · @17.00
3.04Expected goals
2.44Atalanta xG
0.60Kairat Almaty xG
54%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–012%
3–012%
2–19%
4–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Atalanta 2.4 – 0.6 Kairat Almaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✗
76%
1.32
1.14
Double chance
Atalanta or draw✓
95%
1.06
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Atalanta (draw no bet)
94%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
Atalanta -1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.36
First team to score
Atalanta to score first
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Atalanta ahead at half-time✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✗
54%
1.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Atalanta – last 6
LDDLLW
2 Nov
vs Parma
0–3
L
29 Oct
@ Fiorentina
2–2
D
25 Oct
vs Frosinone
4–4
D
22 Oct
@ Ajax
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ AC Milan
2–3
L
15 Oct
vs Pafos
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kairat Almaty – last 6
DDLWDW
31 Oct
vs Altay
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Aktobe
2–2
D
22 Oct
vs Panathinaikos
1–5
L
18 Oct
vs Irtysh
5–0
W
15 Oct
@ Riga
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Zhetysu
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atalanta and Kairat Almaty.
What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
On our numbers Atalanta have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kairat Almaty 5%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
Our predicted score is Atalanta 3–0 Kairat Almaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
