Lincoln Red Imps FC 11%Draw 22%HNK Hajduk Split 67%Expected goals 0.94 – 2.36
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗67% · @1.36
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✗89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 5 November the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Lincoln Red Imps FC against HNK Hajduk Split at Europa Point Stadium. Kick-off: 18:45 WAT. In the table, Lincoln Red Imps FC are 22nd, lower half, on 3 points after 3 matches; HNK Hajduk Split are 13th (upper half) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lincoln Red Imps FC, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Hound Dogs, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over HNK Gorica, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Lincoln Red Imps FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lincoln Red Imps FC 0.9 xG, HNK Hajduk Split 2.4 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lincoln Red Imps FC 11%, draw 22%, HNK Hajduk Split 67%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 HNK Hajduk Split. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lincoln Red Imps FC11%fair 8.81 · @8.00
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @5.00
HNK Hajduk Split67%fair 1.49 · @1.36
3.30Expected goals
0.94Lincoln Red Imps FC xG
2.36HNK Hajduk Split xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%
From our goals model: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0.9 – 2.4 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Hajduk Split to win✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Double chance
HNK Hajduk Split or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
HNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet)✗
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
HNK Hajduk Split -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
First team to score
HNK Hajduk Split to score first✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
HNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Lincoln Red Imps FC – last 6
WWLWLW
1 Nov
@ Hound Dogs
5–0
W
25 Oct
vs Lions Gibraltar
3–0
W
22 Oct
vs Twente
1–4
L
18 Oct
@ Lynx
2–1
W
15 Oct
@ Brann
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Europa
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
HNK Hajduk Split – last 6
WDWWWW
31 Oct
vs HNK Gorica
5–0
W
26 Oct
@ Istra 1961
2–2
D
22 Oct
@ FC Thun
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs NK Varazdin
1–0
W
15 Oct
vs Ajax
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Dinamo Zagreb
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln Red Imps FC and HNK Hajduk Split.
What is the prediction for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
On our numbers Lincoln Red Imps FC have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HNK Hajduk Split 67%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our predicted score is Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Europa Point Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
