Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.28
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 15 October the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Brighton against Kauno Žalgiris at Amex Stadium. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Brighton are 5th, upper half, on 7 points after 3 matches; Kauno Žalgiris are 36th (in the drop zone) with 0.
Current form
Brighton, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sunderland, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kauno Žalgiris, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Minija, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brighton 1.7 xG, Kauno Žalgiris 0.3 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brighton 78%, draw 13%, Kauno Žalgiris 9%.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (57%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brighton 1–0 Kauno Žalgiris. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brighton78%fair 1.28 · @1.03
Draw13%fair 7.65 · @21.00
Kauno Žalgiris9%fair 10.99 · @51.00
2.00Expected goals
1.73Brighton xG
0.27Kauno Žalgiris xG
43%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
2–020%
0–014%
3–012%
1–16%
2–16%
From our goals model: Brighton 1.7 – 0.3 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win✓
78%
1.28
1.03
Double chance
Brighton or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.40
Draw no bet
Brighton (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Brighton -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Brighton to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Brighton ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.28
–
Recent results
Brighton – last 6
WWWWDL
10 Oct
@ Sunderland
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Arsenal
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Manchester United
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Coventry
5–0
W
5 Sep
vs Leeds
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Chelsea
3–4
L
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kauno Žalgiris – last 6
WWLWWW
11 Oct
@ Minija
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Šiauliai
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Panevėžys
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Suduva Marijampole
5–1
W
6 Sep
vs Džiugas Telšiai
5–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brighton and Kauno Žalgiris.
What is the prediction for Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers Brighton have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Kauno Žalgiris 9%.
How many goals will there be in Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our predicted score is Brighton 1–0 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Amex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
