CSKA Sofia v Monaco Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMonaco to win ✓61% · @1.50

Double chanceMonaco or draw ✓84% · @1.14

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.80

GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 15.22

CSKA Sofia vs Monaco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSKA Sofia welcome Monaco to Vasil Levski National Sports Academy for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 15 October (17:45 WAT). In the table, CSKA Sofia are 28th, lower half, on 1 points after 3 matches; Monaco are 4th (among the top four) with 9.

Current form

CSKA Sofia, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over CSKA 1948, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Monaco, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Toulouse, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Sofia 1.8 xG, Monaco 3.2 xG – a total near 5.0. That is an open game on paper: 88% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Sofia 16%, draw 22%, Monaco 61%.
Lower-risk option: Monaco or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Sofia 1–3 Monaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSKA Sofia16%fair 6.11 · @5.50

Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.33

Monaco61%fair 1.63 · @1.50

5.00Expected goals

1.82CSKA Sofia xG

3.18Monaco xG

67%Both score

88%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–37%

1–26%

2–36%

2–26%

1–45%

2–45%

From our goals model: CSKA Sofia 1.8 – 3.2 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Monaco to win ✓	61%	1.63	1.50
Double chance	Monaco or draw ✓	84%	1.20	1.14
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	67%	1.48	1.80 ▲
Draw no bet	Monaco (draw no bet) ✓	79%	1.27	–
Asian handicap	Monaco -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Over 4.5 goals ✗	56%	1.79	–
First team to score	Monaco to score first ✓	63%	1.58	–
Half-time result	Monaco ahead at half-time ✓	51%	1.96	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Monaco / FT Monaco ✓	44%	2.28	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–3 ✗	7%	15.22	–

CSKA Sofia – last 6

WDWWWD

11 Oct	@ CSKA 1948	3–2	W
20 Sep	@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1–1	D
16 Sep	@ Lokomotiv Sofia	2–0	W
12 Sep	vs Arda Kardzhali	4–1	W
9 Sep	@ Levski Sofia	4–2	W
5 Sep	@ Spartak Varna	1–1	D

2.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Monaco – last 6

DWDWWW

10 Oct	vs Toulouse	2–2	D
18 Sep	vs Lens	2–1	W
12 Sep	@ Strasbourg	1–1	D
4 Sep	@ Paris Saint Germain	2–1	W
30 Aug	vs Marseille	2–0	W
27 Aug	vs Gornik Zabrze	4–1	W

2.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

On our numbers CSKA Sofia have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monaco 61%.

How many goals will there be in CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia 1–3 Monaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.

When is CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

CSKA Sofia vs Monaco (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Vasil Levski National Sports Academy.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

CSKA Sofia v Monaco: numbers & prediction