Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultGent to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceGent or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓25% · fair 3.96
Gent vs Aarhus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aarhus travel to face Gent on Thursday 15 October in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Planet Group Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Gent are 18th, upper half, on 4 points after 3 matches; Aarhus are 24th (lower half) with 2. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gent, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Zulte Waregem, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aarhus, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sonderjyske, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Gent, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Aarhus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gent 1.1 xG, Aarhus 0.4 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gent 60%, draw 24%, Aarhus 16%.
Lower-risk option: Gent or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (58%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gent 1–0 Aarhus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gent60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.90
Aarhus16%fair 6.11 · @4.80
1.50Expected goals
1.13Gent xG
0.37Aarhus xG
42%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–025%
0–022%
2–014%
1–19%
0–18%
3–05%
From our goals model: Gent 1.1 – 0.4 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gent to win✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Double chance
Gent or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Gent (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Aarhus +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Gent to score first✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gent / FT Gent✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
25%
3.96
–
Recent results
Gent – last 6
WWDWWW
10 Oct
@ Zulte Waregem
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs Standard Liege
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Genk
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Cercle Brugge
3–0
W
3 Sep
vs OH Leuven
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Club Brugge KV
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aarhus – last 6
WWDWLD
12 Oct
vs Sonderjyske
3–0
W
2 Oct
vs Vendsyssel FF
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ AC Horsens
2–2
D
16 Sep
@ Skjold Sæby
6–1
W
13 Sep
@ FC Nordsjaelland
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Silkeborg
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gent and Aarhus.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Gent vs Aarhus?
On our numbers Gent have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aarhus 16%.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs Aarhus?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gent vs Aarhus?
Our predicted score is Gent 1–0 Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Gent vs Aarhus?
Gent vs Aarhus (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Planet Group Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
