Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: FC Nordsjaelland to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Nordsjaelland to win ✗50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.28
Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Nordsjaelland travel to face Heart Of Midlothian on Thursday 15 October in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Tynecastle Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Heart Of Midlothian are 32nd, lower half, on 1 points after 3 matches; FC Nordsjaelland are 25th (lower half) with 2. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Heart Of Midlothian, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over ST Mirren, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
FC Nordsjaelland, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Odense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Heart Of Midlothian, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for FC Nordsjaelland.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heart Of Midlothian 1.6 xG, FC Nordsjaelland 2.1 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heart Of Midlothian 29%, draw 21%, FC Nordsjaelland 50%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: FC Nordsjaelland to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heart Of Midlothian 1–2 FC Nordsjaelland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heart Of Midlothian29%fair 3.43 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
FC Nordsjaelland50%fair 2.01 · @2.20
3.63Expected goals
1.56Heart Of Midlothian xG
2.07FC Nordsjaelland xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–26%
From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 1.6 – 2.1 FC Nordsjaelland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Nordsjaelland to win✗
50%
2.01
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Draw no bet
FC Nordsjaelland (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Heart Of Midlothian +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
FC Nordsjaelland to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
FC Nordsjaelland ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Nordsjaelland / FT FC Nordsjaelland✗
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
WDLWWW
10 Oct
vs ST Mirren
5–0
W
19 Sep
@ Kilmarnock
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Falkirk
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Stenhousemuir
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Dundee
2–1
W
3 Sep
@ Hibernian
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Nordsjaelland – last 6
DLLWWD
9 Oct
vs Odense
0–0
D
3 Oct
@ Malmo FF
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Viborg
1–4
L
16 Sep
@ Vatanspor
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Aarhus
2–0
W
7 Sep
@ FC Midtjylland
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heart Of Midlothian and FC Nordsjaelland.
What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Nordsjaelland 50%.
How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 1–2 FC Nordsjaelland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
