Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTwente to win ✓72% · @1.22
Double chanceTwente or draw ✓93% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.60
Twente vs FC Thun: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Thun travel to face Twente on Thursday 15 October in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with De Grolsch Veste the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Twente are 3rd, among the top four, on 9 points after 3 matches; FC Thun are 20th (lower half) with 3.
Current form
Twente, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fortuna Sittard, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
FC Thun, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to FC Zurich, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Twente, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for FC Thun.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Twente 3.2 xG, FC Thun 1.3 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 83% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Twente 72%, draw 20%, FC Thun 7%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Twente to win (72%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Twente 3–1 FC Thun. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Twente72%fair 1.38 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @6.50
FC Thun7%fair 13.35 · @10.00
4.50Expected goals
3.24Twente xG
1.26FC Thun xG
63%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–06%
2–06%
4–05%
From our goals model: Twente 3.2 – 1.3 FC Thun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Twente to win✓
72%
1.38
1.22
Double chance
Twente or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Twente (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Twente -1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
First team to score
Twente to score first✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Twente ahead at half-time✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Twente / FT Twente✗
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.60
–
Recent results
Twente – last 6
DWWWDW
10 Oct
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs PSV Eindhoven
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs ADO Den Haag
2–0
W
9 Sep
vs Telstar
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Groningen
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Cambuur
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Thun – last 6
LWWLLL
10 Oct
@ FC Zurich
2–4
L
3 Oct
vs SC Kriens
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ FC Vaduz
2–1
W
16 Sep
vs Servette FC
2–4
L
12 Sep
vs Grasshoppers
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ FC Sion
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Twente and FC Thun.
Our pick is Twente to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Twente vs FC Thun?
On our numbers Twente have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Thun 7%.
How many goals will there be in Twente vs FC Thun?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Twente vs FC Thun?
Our predicted score is Twente 3–1 FC Thun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Twente vs FC Thun?
Twente vs FC Thun (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Grolsch Veste.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
