Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultPenafiel to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.82
Oliveirense vs Penafiel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Penafiel travel to face Oliveirense on Saturday 19 September in the Taça De Portugal – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Oliveirense, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mafra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Penafiel, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Felgueiras 1932, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oliveirense 1.9 xG, Penafiel 2.1 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oliveirense 33%, draw 23%, Penafiel 44%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oliveirense 1–2 Penafiel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oliveirense33%fair 3.03 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Penafiel44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
4.00Expected goals
1.86Oliveirense xG
2.14Penafiel xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Oliveirense 1.9 – 2.1 Penafiel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penafiel to win✓
44%
2.29
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Penafiel (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Oliveirense +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Penafiel to score first✗
52%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Penafiel ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penafiel / FT Penafiel✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.82
–
Recent results
Oliveirense – last 6
WLWWDD
12 Sep
vs Mafra
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético CP
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Penalva Castelo
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
3–2
W
14 Aug
@ União Santarém
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Louletano
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Penafiel – last 6
WWWWDL
12 Sep
@ Felgueiras 1932
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Academica
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ FC Porto B
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Sporting CP B
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Torreense
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Portimonense
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oliveirense and Penafiel.
What is the prediction for Oliveirense vs Penafiel?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Oliveirense vs Penafiel?
On our numbers Oliveirense have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Penafiel 44%.
How many goals will there be in Oliveirense vs Penafiel?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oliveirense vs Penafiel?
Our predicted score is Oliveirense 1–2 Penafiel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Oliveirense vs Penafiel?
Oliveirense vs Penafiel (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Castro Daire0
Portimonense1
Vitória de Sernache2
Varzim1
Atlético CP4
Lagoa1
Salgueiros1
Feirense0
Mafra1
Tirsense1
O Elvas0
União de Leiria2
Beira-Mar0
CF Os Belenenses2