O Elvas vs União de Leiria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: O Elvas v União de Leiria in the Taça De Portugal.
Current form
O Elvas, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fazendense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
União de Leiria, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Amarante, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give O Elvas 3.6 xG, União de Leiria 5.4 xG – a total near 9.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 99% and GG at 73%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – O Elvas 16%, draw 24%, União de Leiria 60%.
GG/NG: GG (73%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (73%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.38, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: O Elvas 3–7 União de Leiria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
O Elvas16%fair 6.25 · @6.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.40
União de Leiria60%fair 1.66 · @1.50
9.00Expected goals
3.60O Elvas xG
5.40União de Leiria xG
73%Both score
99%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–76%
4–76%
2–75%
5–74%
3–54%
3–43%
From our goals model: O Elvas 3.6 – 5.4 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Double chance
União de Leiria or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
73%
1.38
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
União de Leiria (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
União de Leiria -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
União de Leiria to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
União de Leiria ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–7✗
6%
15.80
–
Recent results
O Elvas – last 6
WWWDLD
13 Sep
@ Fazendense
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs São Roque (Açores)
9–0
W
23 Aug
@ Nazarenos
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Fátima
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Alcochetense
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Oriental Lisboa
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
União de Leiria – last 6
DWWWLL
13 Sep
@ Amarante
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Portimonense
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Tondela
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Leixoes
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Benfica B
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Vizela
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between O Elvas and União de Leiria.
What is the prediction for O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
On our numbers O Elvas have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and União de Leiria 60%.
How many goals will there be in O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
We expect about 9.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 99% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
Our predicted score is O Elvas 3–7 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 9.0 goals in total.
When is O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
O Elvas vs União de Leiria (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.