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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

O Elvas v União de Leiria: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal

O Elvas

WWWDL
0–2
FT
O Elvas 16%Draw 24%União de Leiria 60% Expected goals 3.60 – 5.40
73%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnião de Leiria to win ✓60% · @1.50
Double chanceUnião de Leiria or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗73% · @2.00
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–7 ✗6% · fair 15.80

O Elvas vs União de Leiria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: O Elvas v União de Leiria in the Taça De Portugal.

Current form

O Elvas, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fazendense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

União de Leiria, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Amarante, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give O Elvas 3.6 xG, União de Leiria 5.4 xG – a total near 9.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 99% and GG at 73%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – O Elvas 16%, draw 24%, União de Leiria 60%.
  • GG/NG: GG (73%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (73%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.38, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: O Elvas 3–7 União de Leiria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

O Elvas16%fair 6.25 · @6.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.40
União de Leiria60%fair 1.66 · @1.50
9.00Expected goals
3.60O Elvas xG
5.40União de Leiria xG
73%Both score
99%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–76%
4–76%
2–75%
5–74%
3–54%
3–43%

From our goals model: O Elvas 3.6 – 5.4 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnião de Leiria to win ✓60%1.661.50
Double chanceUnião de Leiria or draw ✓84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗73%1.382.00 ▲
Draw no betUnião de Leiria (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapUnião de Leiria -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗99%1.01–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗95%1.06–
First team to scoreUnião de Leiria to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultUnião de Leiria ahead at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria ✗46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–7 ✗6%15.80–

Recent results

O Elvas – last 6

WWWDLD
13 Sep@ Fazendense2–1W
6 Sepvs São Roque (Açores)9–0W
23 Aug@ Nazarenos1–0W
16 Augvs Fátima1–1D
22 Mar@ Alcochetense0–2L
15 Marvs Oriental Lisboa0–0D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

União de Leiria – last 6

DWWWLL
13 Sep@ Amarante2–2D
6 Sepvs Portimonense1–0W
28 Augvs Tondela2–0W
22 Aug@ Leixoes4–2W
15 Augvs Benfica B1–2L
9 Aug@ Vizela0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between O Elvas and União de Leiria.

O Elvas vs União de Leiria head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for O Elvas vs União de Leiria?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win O Elvas vs União de Leiria?

On our numbers O Elvas have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and União de Leiria 60%.

How many goals will there be in O Elvas vs União de Leiria?

We expect about 9.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 99% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for O Elvas vs União de Leiria?

Our predicted score is O Elvas 3–7 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 9.0 goals in total.

When is O Elvas vs União de Leiria?

O Elvas vs União de Leiria (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.