Value bet: Cerro Largo to win @ 2.25 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCerro Largo to win ✗47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Central Espanol travel to face Cerro Largo on Sunday 13 September in the Primera División Apertura, with Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Cerro Largo are 15th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Central Espanol are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cerro Largo, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Defensor Sporting, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Central Espanol, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Racing Montevideo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Central Espanol, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Cerro Largo.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Central Espanol 0–1 Cerro Largo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cerro Largo 2 wins, Central Espanol 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Largo 1.3 xG, Central Espanol 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Largo 47%, draw 25%, Central Espanol 28%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Cerro Largo to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Largo 1–1 Central Espanol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro Largo47%fair 2.11 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.88
Central Espanol28%fair 3.59 · @3.30
2.24Expected goals
1.32Cerro Largo xG
0.92Central Espanol xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Cerro Largo 1.3 – 0.9 Central Espanol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol?
On our numbers Cerro Largo have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Central Espanol 28%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol?
Our predicted score is Cerro Largo 1–1 Central Espanol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol?
Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
