Penarol 66%Draw 23%Albion FC 11%Expected goals 1.88 – 0.62
66%
Betarazi pick
Penarol to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPenarol to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chancePenarol or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Penarol vs Albion FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Penarol welcome Albion FC for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Sunday 13 September (23:30 WAT). In the table, Penarol are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Albion FC are 12th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Penarol, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Danubio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Albion FC, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Progreso, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Penarol, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Albion FC.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Albion FC 0–1 Penarol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penarol 1.9 xG, Albion FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penarol 66%, draw 23%, Albion FC 11%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Penarol to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penarol 1–0 Albion FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penarol66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.00
Albion FC11%fair 9.34 · @6.50
2.50Expected goals
1.88Penarol xG
0.62Albion FC xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Penarol 1.9 – 0.6 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Penarol to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Penarol vs Albion FC?
On our numbers Penarol have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Albion FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Penarol vs Albion FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penarol vs Albion FC?
Our predicted score is Penarol 1–0 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Penarol vs Albion FC?
Penarol vs Albion FC (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
