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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juventud v Danubio: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Parque Artigas

Juventud

DLWWW
1–1
FT

Danubio

LLLWD
Juventud 46%Draw 24%Danubio 30% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.00
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuventud to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62

Juventud vs Danubio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Danubio travel to face Juventud on Sunday 13 September in the Primera División Apertura, with Estadio Parque Artigas the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Juventud are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Danubio are 14th (in the drop zone) with 10.

Current form

Juventud, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Club Nacional, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Danubio, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Penarol, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Juventud, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Danubio.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Danubio 1–1 Juventud. The last 2 head-to-heads: Juventud 0 wins, Danubio 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventud 1.3 xG, Danubio 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud 46%, draw 24%, Danubio 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud 1–1 Danubio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventud46%fair 2.18 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Danubio30%fair 3.35 · @3.50
2.33Expected goals
1.33Juventud xG
1.00Danubio xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–09%

From our goals model: Juventud 1.3 – 1.0 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventud to win ✗46%2.182.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.771.91 ▲
Draw no betJuventud (draw no bet)61%1.65–
Asian handicapDanubio +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreJuventud to score first ✗52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventud / FT Juventud ✗26%3.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.62–

Recent results

Juventud – last 6

DLWWWL
6 Sep@ Club Nacional2–2D
2 Sep@ Central Espanol0–3L
29 Augvs Deportivo Maldonado2–0W
26 Augvs Oriental1–0W
22 Aug@ Central Espanol1–0W
15 Augvs Atletico Torque0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Danubio – last 6

LLLWDD
5 Sepvs Penarol0–4L
2 Sep@ Atletico Torque0–2L
29 Aug@ Progreso0–1L
26 Augvs Atenas3–2W
23 Augvs Racing Montevideo0–0D
14 Aug@ Boston River0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jul 2026Danubio v Juventud1–1
16 Mar 2026Danubio v Juventud4–1
Juventud vs Danubio head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

League hub
FT Cerro Largo0 Central Espanol0 147%2.25X25%2.88228%3.30 1.3–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.00 ✗
FT Progreso1 Cerro3 143%2.30X24%3.00233%3.10 1.2–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.00 ✓
FT Defensor Sporting1 Deportivo Maldonado0 133%2.75X24%3.00243%2.50 1.0–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@1.91 ✗
FT Penarol3 Albion FC1 166%1.44X23%4.00211%6.50 1.9–0.6xG 1Penarol to win 66%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventud vs Danubio?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Juventud vs Danubio?

On our numbers Juventud have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Danubio 30%.

How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Danubio?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Danubio?

Our predicted score is Juventud 1–1 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Juventud vs Danubio?

Juventud vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Parque Artigas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.