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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bolivia v Paraguay: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Audi Field

Bolivia

LLLW
0–2
FT

Paraguay

LDDWL
Bolivia 10%Draw 23%Paraguay 67% Expected goals 0.70 – 2.05
67%
Betarazi pick

Paraguay to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultParaguay to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceParaguay or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.64

Bolivia vs Paraguay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:30 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Bolivia v Paraguay in the Friendlies, played at Audi Field.

Current form

Bolivia, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Algeria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Paraguay, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to France, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Paraguay, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Bolivia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bolivia 0.7 xG, Paraguay 2.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bolivia 10%, draw 23%, Paraguay 67%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Paraguay to win (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolivia 0–2 Paraguay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bolivia10%fair 10.46 · @6.50
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @4.20
Paraguay67%fair 1.49 · @1.40
2.75Expected goals
0.70Bolivia xG
2.05Paraguay xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–213%
0–113%
1–29%
0–39%
1–19%
1–36%

From our goals model: Bolivia 0.7 – 2.1 Paraguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultParaguay to win ✓67%1.491.40
Double chanceParaguay or draw ✓90%1.111.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.80
Draw no betParaguay (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapParaguay -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreParaguay to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultParaguay ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paraguay / FT Paraguay ✓45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.64–

Recent results

Bolivia – last 4

LLLW
11 Junvs Algeria0–4L
6 Junvs Scotland0–4L
1 Apr@ Iraq1–2L
26 Marvs Suriname2–1W
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Paraguay – last 6

LDDWLW
4 Julvs France0–1L
29 Jun@ Germany1–1D
26 Junvs Australia0–0D
20 Jun@ Türkiye1–0W
13 Jun@ USA1–4L
5 Junvs Nicaragua4–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bolivia and Paraguay.

Bolivia vs Paraguay head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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FT Mexico1 Colombia1 138%2.50X22%3.25241%2.45 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.83 ✓
FT Cook Islands1 Tahiti3 114%18.00X14%9.50272%1.10 X2Tahiti or draw 86%@1.02 ✓
FT Vanuatu4 New Caledonia1 137%2.50X21%3.30242%2.30 1.5–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.60 ✓
FT Fiji2 Papua New Guinea0 144%2.00X22%3.30234%3.20 1.5–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.62 ✗
FT China0 New Zealand3 138%2.90X23%3.00239%2.30 1.3–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.75 ✗
FT Seychelles0 Sri Lanka3 124%2.56X52%3.28224%2.56 1.9–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.33 ✓
FT Malta2 Liechtenstein0 170%1.25X17%4.60212%11.00 1.7–0.5xG 1Malta to win 70%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bolivia vs Paraguay?

Our pick is Paraguay to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Bolivia vs Paraguay?

On our numbers Bolivia have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paraguay 67%.

How many goals will there be in Bolivia vs Paraguay?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bolivia vs Paraguay?

Our predicted score is Bolivia 0–2 Paraguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Bolivia vs Paraguay?

Bolivia vs Paraguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.