Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · fair 1.52
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗5% · fair 19.92
Lower Breck vs Chester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chester travel to face Lower Breck on Saturday 19 September in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Lower Breck, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Stalybridge Celtic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Chester, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Buxton, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lower Breck, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Chester.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lower Breck 3.0 xG, Chester 3.0 xG – a total near 6.0. That is an open game on paper: 94% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lower Breck 5%, draw 89%, Chester 6%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (98%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lower Breck 2–3 Chester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lower Breck5%fair 20.00
Draw89%fair 1.12
Chester6%fair 16.67
6.00Expected goals
2.98Lower Breck xG
3.02Chester xG
66%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–35%
2–25%
3–35%
3–25%
2–44%
3–44%
From our goals model: Lower Breck 3.0 – 3.0 Chester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
89%
1.12
–
Double chance
Chester or draw✓
95%
1.05
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
–
Draw no bet
Chester (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Lower Breck +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
Chester to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Chester ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chester / FT Chester✓
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
5%
19.92
–
Recent results
Lower Breck – last 4
LWWW
12 Sep
@ Stalybridge Celtic
2–3
L
5 Sep
vs Thornaby
5–1
W
29 Aug
vs North Ferriby
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs Vauxhall Motors
4–0
W
3.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chester – last 6
LLDLDW
12 Sep
@ Buxton
1–3
L
8 Sep
vs Merthyr Town
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Hebburn Town
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Morecambe
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Hereford
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Spalding United
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lower Breck and Chester.
What is the prediction for Lower Breck vs Chester?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 98% chance.
Who will win Lower Breck vs Chester?
On our numbers Lower Breck have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 89% and Chester 6%.
How many goals will there be in Lower Breck vs Chester?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lower Breck vs Chester?
Our predicted score is Lower Breck 2–3 Chester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.
When is Lower Breck vs Chester?
Lower Breck vs Chester (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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King's Lynn Town1
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Buxton1
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Bury Town4
Leamington1
Gainsborough Trinity1
Merthyr Town1
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