Bradford (Park Avenue) v Lancaster City Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLancaster City to win ✗54% · fair 1.85

Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.56

Bradford (Park Avenue) vs Lancaster City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Bradford (Park Avenue) v Lancaster City in the FA Cup.

Current form

Bradford (Park Avenue), last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Curzon Ashton, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Lancaster City, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Curzon Ashton, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bradford (Park Avenue), collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.3 for Lancaster City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bradford (Park Avenue) 1.0 xG, Lancaster City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bradford (Park Avenue) 35%, draw 11%, Lancaster City 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bradford (Park Avenue) 0–1 Lancaster City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bradford (Park Avenue)35%fair 2.86

Draw11%fair 9.09

Lancaster City54%fair 1.85

2.33Expected goals

0.97Bradford (Park Avenue) xG

1.36Lancaster City xG

47%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%

1–113%

0–010%

1–09%

0–29%

1–29%

From our goals model: Bradford (Park Avenue) 1.0 – 1.4 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Lancaster City to win ✗	54%	1.85	–
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	89%	1.12	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.87	–
Draw no bet	Lancaster City (draw no bet) ✗	61%	1.65	–
Asian handicap	Bradford (Park Avenue) +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Lancaster City to score first ✗	53%	1.90	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Lancaster City / FT Lancaster City ✗	27%	3.73	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	13%	7.56	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Lancaster City to win ✗

54%

1.85

–

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

89%

1.12

–

Both teams to score

Not both teams to score ✓

53%

1.87

–

Draw no bet

Lancaster City (draw no bet) ✗

61%

1.65

–

Asian handicap

Bradford (Park Avenue) +1 (Asian handicap) ✓

71%

1.40

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✗

68%

1.48

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✓

59%

1.70

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

79%

1.26

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

91%

1.10

–

First team to score

Lancaster City to score first ✗

53%

1.90

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

46%

2.19

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Lancaster City / FT Lancaster City ✗

27%

3.73

–

Correct score

Correct score 0–1 ✗

13%

7.56

–

5 Sep	@ Curzon Ashton	2–1	W
29 Aug	@ Stalybridge Celtic	1–2	L
1 Aug	@ Gainsborough Trinity	2–0	W
13 Jul	vs Sheffield	2–1	W
6 Apr	vs Brighouse Town	7–0	W

12 Sep	vs Curzon Ashton	0–2	L
5 Sep	vs Tadcaster Albion	1–1	D
31 Aug	vs Workington	0–3	L
28 Aug	@ Guiseley AFC	2–1	W
25 Aug	@ Bury	1–0	W
22 Aug	vs Quorn	2–2	D

Bradford (Park Avenue) v Lancaster City: numbers & prediction