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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Biellese v Alessandria: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy

Biellese

WWDWW
3–2
FT

Alessandria

WWWLW
Biellese 27%Draw 52%Alessandria 21% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.17
79%
Betarazi pick

Biellese or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.33Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 52% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +65%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗52% · @3.20
Double chanceBiellese or draw ✓79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗8% · fair 11.77

Biellese vs Alessandria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 7 October the Coppa Italia Serie D brings Biellese against Alessandria. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT.

Current form

Biellese, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Gozzano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Alessandria, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Derthona, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Biellese 1.3 xG, Alessandria 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Biellese 27%, draw 52%, Alessandria 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Biellese or draw (79%) at 1.33.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Biellese or draw (79%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.27, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Biellese 1–1 Alessandria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Biellese27%fair 3.68 · @2.20
Draw52%fair 1.94 · @3.20
Alessandria21%fair 4.72 · @2.88
2.47Expected goals
1.30Biellese xG
1.17Alessandria xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Biellese 1.3 – 1.2 Alessandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗52%1.943.20 ▲
Double chanceBiellese or draw ✓79%1.271.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.89–
Draw no betBiellese (draw no bet) ✓56%1.78–
Asian handicapAlessandria +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.12–
First team to scoreBiellese to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Biellese / FT Biellese ✓23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗8%11.77–

Recent results

Biellese – last 6

WWDWWD
4 Octvs Gozzano4–1W
27 Sep@ Sestri Levante2–1W
20 Sepvs Chisola1–1D
16 Sep@ Bra1–0W
13 Sepvs Ligorna3–1W
6 Sep@ Saluzzo1–1D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Alessandria – last 6

WWWLWW
4 Oct@ Derthona3–1W
30 Sepvs Imperia2–1W
27 Sepvs Asti2–0W
16 Sep@ Millesimo1–4L
13 Sepvs Sestri Levante2–1W
6 Sep@ Valenzana2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Biellese and Alessandria.

Biellese vs Alessandria head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie D predictions

League hub
FT Ancona1 Fossombrone1 Pens 5–3 164%1.45X22%3.90214%5.75 1.9–0.8xG 1Ancona to win 64%@1.45 ✗
FT Brusaporto2 Chievo1 120%3.70X22%3.40258%1.83 0.8–1.7xG X2Chievo or draw 80%@1.30 ✗
FT Flaminia0 Robur Siena3 125%2.40X52%3.20223%2.62 1.4–1.3xG 1XFlaminia or draw 77%@1.40 ✗
FT Igea Virtus3 Reggina2 123%3.50X21%3.40256%1.90 1.0–1.7xG 2Reggina to win 56%@1.90 ✗
FT Lentigione1 Piacenza3 135%2.60X23%3.00241%2.50 1.2–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✗
FT Sasso Marconi Zola1 Cittadella Vis Modena0 126%3.00X22%3.25252%2.10 0.9–1.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.67 ✓
FT Sestri Levante1 Pistoiese0 111%4.75X25%3.70264%1.57 0.7–1.9xG 2Pistoiese to win 64%@1.57 ✗
FT Valenzana3 Saluzzo2 142%2.00X22%3.25236%3.25 1.3–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 54%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Biellese vs Alessandria?

Our pick is Biellese or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Biellese vs Alessandria?

On our numbers Biellese have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 52% and Alessandria 21%.

How many goals will there be in Biellese vs Alessandria?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Biellese vs Alessandria?

Our predicted score is Biellese 1–1 Alessandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Biellese vs Alessandria?

Biellese vs Alessandria (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.