Value bet: Cittadella Vis Modena to win @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCittadella Vis Modena to win ✗52% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 7 October the Coppa Italia Serie D brings Sasso Marconi Zola against Cittadella Vis Modena. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Sasso Marconi Zola, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Scandicci, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Cittadella Vis Modena, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Pontedera, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cittadella Vis Modena, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Sasso Marconi Zola.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Cittadella Vis Modena 2–0 Sasso Marconi Zola.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sasso Marconi Zola 0.9 xG, Cittadella Vis Modena 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sasso Marconi Zola 26%, draw 22%, Cittadella Vis Modena 52%.
Price worth noting: Cittadella Vis Modena to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sasso Marconi Zola 0–1 Cittadella Vis Modena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sasso Marconi Zola26%fair 3.83 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Cittadella Vis Modena52%fair 1.92 · @2.10
2.43Expected goals
0.94Sasso Marconi Zola xG
1.49Cittadella Vis Modena xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Sasso Marconi Zola 0.9 – 1.5 Cittadella Vis Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cittadella Vis Modena to win✗
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Cittadella Vis Modena (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Sasso Marconi Zola +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Cittadella Vis Modena to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella Vis Modena / FT Cittadella Vis Modena✗
What is the prediction for Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
On our numbers Sasso Marconi Zola have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cittadella Vis Modena 52%.
How many goals will there be in Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Our predicted score is Sasso Marconi Zola 0–1 Cittadella Vis Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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