Città di Varese 12%Draw 25%Pro Patria 63%Expected goals 0.66 – 1.76
63%
Betarazi pick
Pro Patria to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultPro Patria to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chancePro Patria or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.41
Città di Varese vs Pro Patria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pro Patria travel to face Città di Varese on Wednesday 7 October in the Coppa Italia Serie D – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Città di Varese, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Crema, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Pro Patria, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Varesina, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pro Patria, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Città di Varese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Città di Varese 0.7 xG, Pro Patria 1.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Città di Varese 12%, draw 25%, Pro Patria 63%.
Lower-risk option: Pro Patria or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pro Patria to win (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Città di Varese 0–1 Pro Patria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Città di Varese12%fair 8.07 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.50
Pro Patria63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
2.43Expected goals
0.66Città di Varese xG
1.76Pro Patria xG
42%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Città di Varese 0.7 – 1.8 Pro Patria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pro Patria to win✓
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Pro Patria or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Pro Patria (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Pro Patria -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Pro Patria to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Pro Patria ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pro Patria / FT Pro Patria✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.41
–
Recent results
Città di Varese – last 6
LDWDLD
4 Oct
@ Crema
2–3
L
27 Sep
vs Lentigione
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Pontedera
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Pro Sesto
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Coriano
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pro Patria – last 6
DLWWWW
4 Oct
@ Varesina
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Solbiatese
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Arconatese
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Crema
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Pontedera
3–2
W
6 Sep
vs Oltrepò
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Città di Varese and Pro Patria.
What is the prediction for Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?
Our pick is Pro Patria to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?
On our numbers Città di Varese have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pro Patria 63%.
How many goals will there be in Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?
Our predicted score is Città di Varese 0–1 Pro Patria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?
Città di Varese vs Pro Patria (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ancona1
Fossombrone1
Brusaporto2
Chievo1
Flaminia0
Robur Siena3
Igea Virtus3
Reggina2
Lentigione1
Piacenza3
Sasso Marconi Zola1
Cittadella Vis Modena0
Sestri Levante1
Pistoiese0
Valenzana3
Saluzzo2