Value bet: Saluzzo to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultValenzana to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.37
Valenzana vs Saluzzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valenzana welcome Saluzzo for a Coppa Italia Serie D fixture on Wednesday 7 October (14:00 WAT).
Current form
Valenzana, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fezzanese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Saluzzo, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ligorna, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Saluzzo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Valenzana.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Valenzana 1–4 Saluzzo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valenzana 1.3 xG, Saluzzo 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valenzana 42%, draw 22%, Saluzzo 36%.
Price worth noting: Saluzzo to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valenzana 1–1 Saluzzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valenzana42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Saluzzo36%fair 2.77 · @3.25
2.52Expected goals
1.32Valenzana xG
1.19Saluzzo xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Valenzana 1.3 – 1.2 Saluzzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Valenzana vs Saluzzo?
On our numbers Valenzana have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Saluzzo 36%.
How many goals will there be in Valenzana vs Saluzzo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenzana vs Saluzzo?
Our predicted score is Valenzana 1–1 Saluzzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Valenzana vs Saluzzo?
Valenzana vs Saluzzo (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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