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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sestri Levante v Pistoiese: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy · Giuseppe Sivori

Sestri Levante

WLDLL
1–0
FT

Pistoiese

WWWWW
Sestri Levante 11%Draw 25%Pistoiese 64% Expected goals 0.69 – 1.88
64%
Betarazi pick

Pistoiese to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultPistoiese to win ✗64% · @1.57
Double chancePistoiese or draw ✗89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.94

Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pistoiese travel to face Sestri Levante on Wednesday 7 October in the Coppa Italia Serie D, with Giuseppe Sivori the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Sestri Levante, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Borgosesia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Pistoiese, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over USD Casatese, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Pistoiese, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Sestri Levante.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sestri Levante 0.7 xG, Pistoiese 1.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 43%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sestri Levante 11%, draw 25%, Pistoiese 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pistoiese to win (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sestri Levante 0–1 Pistoiese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sestri Levante11%fair 8.91 · @4.75
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.70
Pistoiese64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
2.57Expected goals
0.69Sestri Levante xG
1.88Pistoiese xG
43%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%

From our goals model: Sestri Levante 0.7 – 1.9 Pistoiese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPistoiese to win ✗64%1.561.57
Double chancePistoiese or draw ✗89%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.74–
Draw no betPistoiese (draw no bet) ✗85%1.18–
Asian handicapPistoiese -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scorePistoiese to score first ✗68%1.48–
Half-time resultPistoiese ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese ✗42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%6.94–

Recent results

Sestri Levante – last 6

WLDLLW
4 Oct@ Borgosesia1–0W
27 Sepvs Biellese1–2L
20 Sep@ Lascaris1–1D
16 Sepvs Fezzanese0–3L
13 Sep@ Alessandria1–2L
6 Sepvs Asti2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pistoiese – last 6

WWWWWW
4 Oct@ USD Casatese3–0W
27 Sepvs Sant'Angelo3–0W
20 Sep@ Varesina1–0W
16 Sepvs Arconatese5–0W
13 Sep@ Crema3–1W
6 Sepvs Solbiatese2–0W
2.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sestri Levante and Pistoiese.

Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie D predictions

League hub
FT Ancona1 Fossombrone1 Pens 5–3 164%1.45X22%3.90214%5.75 1.9–0.8xG 1Ancona to win 64%@1.45 ✗
FT Brusaporto2 Chievo1 120%3.70X22%3.40258%1.83 0.8–1.7xG X2Chievo or draw 80%@1.30 ✗
FT Flaminia0 Robur Siena3 125%2.40X52%3.20223%2.62 1.4–1.3xG 1XFlaminia or draw 77%@1.40 ✗
FT Igea Virtus3 Reggina2 123%3.50X21%3.40256%1.90 1.0–1.7xG 2Reggina to win 56%@1.90 ✗
FT Lentigione1 Piacenza3 135%2.60X23%3.00241%2.50 1.2–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✗
FT Sasso Marconi Zola1 Cittadella Vis Modena0 126%3.00X22%3.25252%2.10 0.9–1.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.67 ✓
FT Valenzana3 Saluzzo2 142%2.00X22%3.25236%3.25 1.3–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 54%@1.75 ✗
FT Città di Varese2 Pro Patria5 112%4.20X25%3.50263%1.70 0.7–1.8xG 2Pro Patria to win 63%@1.70 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?

Our pick is Pistoiese to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?

On our numbers Sestri Levante have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pistoiese 64%.

How many goals will there be in Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?

Our predicted score is Sestri Levante 0–1 Pistoiese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?

Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Sivori.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.