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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Este v Caldiero Terme: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy

Este

WDLLL
0–2
FT

Caldiero Terme

WDWDD
Este 36%Draw 22%Caldiero Terme 42% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.28
56%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.67Odds
2

Value bet: Caldiero Terme to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCaldiero Terme to win ✓42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.82

Este vs Caldiero Terme: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Caldiero Terme travel to face Este on Wednesday 7 October in the Coppa Italia Serie D – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Este, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Conegliano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Caldiero Terme, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nibbiano & Valtidone, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Este 1.1 xG, Caldiero Terme 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Este 36%, draw 22%, Caldiero Terme 42%.
  • Price worth noting: Caldiero Terme to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Este 1–1 Caldiero Terme. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Este36%fair 2.80 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Caldiero Terme42%fair 2.35 · @2.70
2.43Expected goals
1.14Este xG
1.28Caldiero Terme xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Este 1.1 – 1.3 Caldiero Terme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaldiero Terme to win ✓42%2.352.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.86–
Draw no betCaldiero Terme (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapEste +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreCaldiero Terme to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caldiero Terme / FT Caldiero Terme ✗23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.82–

Recent results

Este – last 6

WDLLLW
4 Octvs Conegliano2–1W
27 Sep@ Sandona0–0D
20 Sepvs Cjarlins Muzane1–2L
16 Sep@ Clodiense0–1L
13 Sepvs FC Obermais0–1L
6 Sep@ Brian Lignano2–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Caldiero Terme – last 6

WDWDDL
4 Octvs Nibbiano & Valtidone1–0W
27 Sep@ Fiorenzuola1–1D
20 Sepvs Scanzorosciate1–0W
16 Sep@ Real Calepina2–2D
13 Sepvs Leon1–1D
6 Sep@ Milan II3–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Este and Caldiero Terme.

Este vs Caldiero Terme head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie D predictions

League hub
FT Ancona1 Fossombrone1 Pens 5–3 164%1.45X22%3.90214%5.75 1.9–0.8xG 1Ancona to win 64%@1.45 ✗
FT Brusaporto2 Chievo1 120%3.70X22%3.40258%1.83 0.8–1.7xG X2Chievo or draw 80%@1.30 ✗
FT Flaminia0 Robur Siena3 125%2.40X52%3.20223%2.62 1.4–1.3xG 1XFlaminia or draw 77%@1.40 ✗
FT Igea Virtus3 Reggina2 123%3.50X21%3.40256%1.90 1.0–1.7xG 2Reggina to win 56%@1.90 ✗
FT Lentigione1 Piacenza3 135%2.60X23%3.00241%2.50 1.2–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✗
FT Sasso Marconi Zola1 Cittadella Vis Modena0 126%3.00X22%3.25252%2.10 0.9–1.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.67 ✓
FT Sestri Levante1 Pistoiese0 111%4.75X25%3.70264%1.57 0.7–1.9xG 2Pistoiese to win 64%@1.57 ✗
FT Valenzana3 Saluzzo2 142%2.00X22%3.25236%3.25 1.3–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 54%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Este vs Caldiero Terme?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Este vs Caldiero Terme?

On our numbers Este have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Caldiero Terme 42%.

How many goals will there be in Este vs Caldiero Terme?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Este vs Caldiero Terme?

Our predicted score is Este 1–1 Caldiero Terme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Este vs Caldiero Terme?

Este vs Caldiero Terme (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.