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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hanwell Town v Burgess Hill Town: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Hanwell Town

DWLLL
2–1
FT

Burgess Hill Town

WDDDW
Hanwell Town 30%Draw 11%Burgess Hill Town 59% Expected goals 0.57 – 1.10
91%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.10 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultBurgess Hill Town to win ✗59% · fair 1.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.58
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.85

Hanwell Town vs Burgess Hill Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Burgess Hill Town travel to face Hanwell Town on Saturday 19 September in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Hanwell Town, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Frome Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Burgess Hill Town, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Jersey Bulls, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Burgess Hill Town, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Hanwell Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hanwell Town 0.6 xG, Burgess Hill Town 1.1 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hanwell Town 30%, draw 11%, Burgess Hill Town 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (91%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hanwell Town 0–1 Burgess Hill Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hanwell Town30%fair 3.33
Draw11%fair 9.09
Burgess Hill Town59%fair 1.69
1.67Expected goals
0.57Hanwell Town xG
1.10Burgess Hill Town xG
37%Both score
23%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–121%
0–019%
1–112%
0–211%
1–011%
1–26%

From our goals model: Hanwell Town 0.6 – 1.1 Burgess Hill Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBurgess Hill Town to win ✗59%1.69–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗63%1.58–
Draw no betBurgess Hill Town (draw no bet) ✗66%1.51–
Asian handicapHanwell Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreBurgess Hill Town to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Burgess Hill Town / FT Burgess Hill Town ✗27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21%4.85–

Recent results

Hanwell Town – last 6

DWLLLD
12 Sep@ Frome Town2–2D
4 Sep@ Flackwell Heath1–0W
31 Aug@ Berkhamsted0–1L
29 Augvs Chichester City0–2L
22 Aug@ Gloucester City0–1L
15 Augvs Sholing0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Burgess Hill Town – last 6

WDDDWD
15 Sep@ Jersey Bulls3–1W
12 Sepvs Ramsgate2–2D
5 Sepvs Jersey Bulls0–0D
31 Aug@ Whitehawk1–1D
28 Augvs Dartford2–1W
22 Aug@ Cheshunt1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hanwell Town and Burgess Hill Town.

Hanwell Town vs Burgess Hill Town head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Bedford Town2 King's Lynn Town1 145%2.15X22%3.30234%2.90 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.73 ✓
FT Brackley Town1 AFC Portchester0 166%1.28X17%4.75217%8.00 2.2–1.0xG 1Brackley Town to win 66%@1.28 ✓
FT Bury5 Workington1 162%1.73X21%3.70217%3.80 2.8–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.62 ✓
FT Buxton1 Ashton United0 170%1.36X20%4.50210%6.25 3.5–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.57 ✗
FT United of Manchester4 Ossett United1 172%1.28X19%4.7529%8.00 2.5–0.9xG 1United of Manchester to win 72%@1.28 ✓
FT Gorleston3 Bury Town4 112%5.00X23%4.00265%1.50 1.4–2.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.50 ✓
FT Leamington1 Gainsborough Trinity1 140%2.50X22%3.30238%2.45 2.0–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.67 ✗
FT Merthyr Town1 Truro City1 138%2.55X22%3.25240%2.40 1.3–1.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 50%@1.90 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hanwell Town vs Burgess Hill Town?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 91% chance.

Who will win Hanwell Town vs Burgess Hill Town?

On our numbers Hanwell Town have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Burgess Hill Town 59%.

How many goals will there be in Hanwell Town vs Burgess Hill Town?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hanwell Town vs Burgess Hill Town?

Our predicted score is Hanwell Town 0–1 Burgess Hill Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Hanwell Town vs Burgess Hill Town?

Hanwell Town vs Burgess Hill Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.