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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aucas v LDU de Quito: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda

Aucas

LLDDD
1–1
FT
Aucas 27%Draw 25%LDU de Quito 48% Expected goals 0.80 – 1.20
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗48% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.84

Aucas vs LDU de Quito: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Aucas v LDU de Quito in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; LDU de Quito are 4th with 54. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Aucas, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Independiente del Valle, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

LDU de Quito, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Barcelona SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours LDU de Quito, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Aucas.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Aug 2026) it ended LDU de Quito 1–0 Aucas. The last 3 head-to-heads: Aucas 0 wins, LDU de Quito 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.7 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 0.8 xG, LDU de Quito 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 27%, draw 25%, LDU de Quito 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–1 LDU de Quito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aucas27%fair 3.65 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
LDU de Quito48%fair 2.08 · @2.10
2.00Expected goals
0.80Aucas xG
1.20LDU de Quito xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%

From our goals model: Aucas 0.8 – 1.2 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLDU de Quito to win ✗48%2.082.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.85
Draw no betLDU de Quito (draw no bet)64%1.57–
Asian handicapAucas +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreLDU de Quito to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito ✗26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.84–

Recent results

Aucas – last 6

LLDDDW
10 Oct@ Independiente del Valle1–2L
19 Sepvs Macara1–2L
12 Sep@ Manta FC0–0D
7 Sepvs Barcelona SC1–1D
3 Sep@ Universidad Catolica1–1D
30 Augvs Libertad1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

LDU de Quito – last 6

WWWDLW
11 Octvs Barcelona SC2–1W
21 Sepvs Universidad Catolica2–1W
16 Sepvs Palmeiras3–2W
13 Sepvs Deportivo Cuenca1–1D
9 Sep@ Palmeiras0–1L
5 Sep@ Tecnico Universitario3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Aug 2026LDU de Quito v Aucas1–0
17 Aug 2026Aucas v LDU de Quito0–1
23 Apr 2026LDU de Quito v Aucas0–0
Aucas vs LDU de Quito head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

On our numbers Aucas have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and LDU de Quito 48%.

How many goals will there be in Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

Our predicted score is Aucas 1–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

Aucas vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.