Libertad 59%Draw 24%Guayaquil City FC 17%Expected goals 1.61 – 0.72
83%
Betarazi pick
Libertad or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLibertad to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceLibertad or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01
Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Liga Pro brings Libertad against Guayaquil City FC at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Libertad are 7th on 51 points after 36 matches; Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Libertad, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Leones del Norte, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Guayaquil City FC, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Emelec, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Guayaquil City FC 2–2 Libertad. The last 2 head-to-heads: Libertad 0 wins, Guayaquil City FC 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad 1.6 xG, Guayaquil City FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad 59%, draw 24%, Guayaquil City FC 17%.
Lower-risk option: Libertad or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Libertad or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad59%fair 1.70 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Guayaquil City FC17%fair 5.96 · @3.90
2.33Expected goals
1.61Libertad xG
0.72Guayaquil City FC xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Libertad 1.6 – 0.7 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Libertad or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers Libertad have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guayaquil City FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is Libertad 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?
Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
