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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barcelona SC v Universidad Catolica: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Barcelona SC 40%Draw 23%Universidad Catolica 37% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.09
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds
2

Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBarcelona SC to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.97

Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 18 October the Liga Pro brings Barcelona SC against Universidad Catolica at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Barcelona SC are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54.

Current form

Barcelona SC, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to LDU de Quito, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Universidad Catolica, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Macara, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Jul 2026) it ended Universidad Catolica 2–1 Barcelona SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barcelona SC 1.2 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barcelona SC 40%, draw 23%, Universidad Catolica 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Universidad Catolica to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barcelona SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barcelona SC40%fair 2.49 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Universidad Catolica37%fair 2.70 · @2.88
2.25Expected goals
1.16Barcelona SC xG
1.09Universidad Catolica xG
57%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Barcelona SC 1.2 – 1.1 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarcelona SC to win ✗40%2.492.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.70
Draw no betBarcelona SC (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapUniversidad Catolica +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreBarcelona SC to score first46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barcelona SC / FT Barcelona SC ✗21%4.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.97–

Recent results

Barcelona SC – last 6

LDDWLW
11 Oct@ LDU de Quito1–2L
14 Sepvs Delfin SC1–1D
7 Sep@ Aucas1–1D
3 Sepvs Independiente del Valle2–1W
30 Aug@ Manta FC0–2L
23 Augvs Orense SC3–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Universidad Catolica – last 6

LLWWWD
11 Octvs Macara0–1L
21 Sep@ LDU de Quito1–2L
15 Sepvs Orense SC2–1W
10 Sep@ Astillero FC (Ecu)1–0W
6 Sep@ Delfin SC1–0W
3 Sepvs Aucas1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jul 2026Universidad Catolica v Barcelona SC2–1
Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?

On our numbers Barcelona SC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Universidad Catolica 37%.

How many goals will there be in Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?

Our predicted score is Barcelona SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?

Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.