Macara 14%Draw 22%Independiente del Valle 64%Expected goals 0.88 – 2.09
64%
Betarazi pick
Independiente del Valle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✗64% · @1.62
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Macara vs Independiente del Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Macara v Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Bellavista. In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Macara, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Universidad Catolica, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Independiente del Valle, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Aucas, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Independiente del Valle 3–1 Macara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Macara 0.9 xG, Independiente del Valle 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 14%, draw 22%, Independiente del Valle 64%.
Lower-risk option: Independiente del Valle or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Independiente del Valle to win (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 0–2 Independiente del Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Macara14%fair 7.23 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.50
Independiente del Valle64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
2.97Expected goals
0.88Macara xG
2.09Independiente del Valle xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Macara 0.9 – 2.1 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✗
64%
1.56
1.62
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
What is the prediction for Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Macara have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Independiente del Valle 64%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Macara 0–2 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
Macara vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
