Barbados vs St. Lucia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the CONCACAF Nations League brings Barbados against St. Lucia. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barbados 1.2 xG, St. Lucia 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barbados 29%, draw 21%, St. Lucia 50%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barbados 1–1 St. Lucia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barbados29%fair 3.46 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
St. Lucia50%fair 1.99 · @2.10
2.87Expected goals
1.19Barbados xG
1.67St. Lucia xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Barbados 1.2 – 1.7 St. Lucia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Lucia to win✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
St. Lucia (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Barbados +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
St. Lucia to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Lucia / FT St. Lucia✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Barbados – last 2
LL
29 Mar
vs St. Vincent Grenadines
2–3
L
26 Mar
@ Saint Martin
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
St. Lucia – last 1
L
27 Mar
@ Azerbaijan
1–6
L
1.0Scored / game
6.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barbados and St. Lucia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Barbados vs St. Lucia?
On our numbers Barbados have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Lucia 50%.
How many goals will there be in Barbados vs St. Lucia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barbados vs St. Lucia?
Our predicted score is Barbados 1–1 St. Lucia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Barbados vs St. Lucia?
Barbados vs St. Lucia (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jamaica3
Guatemala2
Honduras2
Suriname3
El Salvador3
Martinique1
Montserrat3
British Virgin Islands0
Saint Martin0
US Virgin Islands2
St. Vincent Grenadines2
French Guyana1