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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Montserrat v British Virgin Islands: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America
Montserrat 75%Draw 15%British Virgin Islands 10% Expected goals 2.12 – 0.56
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultMontserrat to win ✓75% · @1.17
Double chanceMontserrat or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓11% · fair 9.16

Montserrat vs British Virgin Islands: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Montserrat welcome British Virgin Islands for a CONCACAF Nations League fixture on Saturday 26 September (20:00 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montserrat 2.1 xG, British Virgin Islands 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Montserrat 75%, draw 15%, British Virgin Islands 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montserrat 2–0 British Virgin Islands. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Montserrat75%fair 1.33 · @1.17
Draw15%fair 6.85 · @7.00
British Virgin Islands10%fair 9.99 · @9.00
2.68Expected goals
2.12Montserrat xG
0.56British Virgin Islands xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–015%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Montserrat 2.1 – 0.6 British Virgin Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontserrat to win ✓75%1.331.17
Double chanceMontserrat or draw ✓90%1.11–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.001.67
Draw no betMontserrat (draw no bet) ✓88%1.13–
Asian handicapMontserrat -1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.571.67 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.28
First team to scoreMontserrat to score first ✓74%1.36–
Half-time resultMontserrat ahead at half-time ✗52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montserrat / FT Montserrat ✗49%2.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓11%9.16–

Recent results

Montserrat – last 1

W
23 Sep@ Turks and Caicos Islands2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

British Virgin Islands – last 2

LD
3 Jun@ Gibraltar0–4L
27 Mar@ Cayman Islands1–1D
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Montserrat and British Virgin Islands.

Montserrat vs British Virgin Islands head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montserrat vs British Virgin Islands?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Montserrat vs British Virgin Islands?

On our numbers Montserrat have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and British Virgin Islands 10%.

How many goals will there be in Montserrat vs British Virgin Islands?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montserrat vs British Virgin Islands?

Our predicted score is Montserrat 2–0 British Virgin Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Montserrat vs British Virgin Islands?

Montserrat vs British Virgin Islands (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.