Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJamaica to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceJamaica or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Jamaica vs Guatemala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the CONCACAF Nations League brings Jamaica against Guatemala. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Jamaica, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over India, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Guatemala, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ecuador, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Jamaica, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.0 for Guatemala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jamaica 1.7 xG, Guatemala 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jamaica 61%, draw 26%, Guatemala 14%.
Lower-risk option: Jamaica or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Jamaica or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jamaica 1–0 Guatemala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jamaica61%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.30
Guatemala14%fair 7.25 · @4.33
2.43Expected goals
1.72Jamaica xG
0.71Guatemala xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Jamaica 1.7 – 0.7 Guatemala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jamaica to win✓
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Jamaica or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Jamaica (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Jamaica -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Jamaica to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Jamaica ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jamaica / FT Jamaica✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Jamaica – last 3
WDW
27 May
vs India
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Congo DR
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ New Caledonia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guatemala – last 3
LLL
7 Jun
@ Ecuador
0–3
L
5 Jun
@ Czech Republic
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Algeria
0–7
L
0.3Scored / game
4.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jamaica and Guatemala.
Our pick is Jamaica or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jamaica vs Guatemala?
On our numbers Jamaica have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guatemala 14%.
How many goals will there be in Jamaica vs Guatemala?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jamaica vs Guatemala?
Our predicted score is Jamaica 1–0 Guatemala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Jamaica vs Guatemala?
Jamaica vs Guatemala (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barbados2
St. Lucia0
Honduras2
Suriname3
El Salvador3
Martinique1
Montserrat3
British Virgin Islands0
Saint Martin0
US Virgin Islands2
St. Vincent Grenadines2
French Guyana1