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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Honduras v Suriname: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America
2–3
FT
Honduras 60%Draw 23%Suriname 17% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.74
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultHonduras to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceHonduras or draw ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.62

Honduras vs Suriname: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Honduras v Suriname in the CONCACAF Nations League.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Honduras 1.7 xG, Suriname 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Honduras 60%, draw 23%, Suriname 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Honduras or draw (83%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Honduras 1–0 Suriname. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Honduras60%fair 1.66 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Suriname17%fair 5.78 · @4.75
2.39Expected goals
1.65Honduras xG
0.74Suriname xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Honduras 1.7 – 0.7 Suriname expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHonduras to win ✗60%1.661.62
Double chanceHonduras or draw ✗83%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.50
Draw no betHonduras (draw no bet) ✗78%1.29–
Asian handicapSuriname +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.111.07
First team to scoreHonduras to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Honduras / FT Honduras ✗37%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.62–

Recent results

Honduras – last 2

LD
7 Jun@ Argentina0–2L
31 Mar@ Peru2–2D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Suriname – last 1

L
26 Mar@ Bolivia1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Honduras and Suriname.

Honduras vs Suriname head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Honduras vs Suriname?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Honduras vs Suriname?

On our numbers Honduras have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Suriname 17%.

How many goals will there be in Honduras vs Suriname?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Honduras vs Suriname?

Our predicted score is Honduras 1–0 Suriname, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Honduras vs Suriname?

Honduras vs Suriname (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.