Saint Martin 71%Draw 17%US Virgin Islands 13%Expected goals 3.84 – 1.89
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 69% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSaint Martin to win ✗71% · @1.12
Double chanceSaint Martin or draw ✗87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6% · fair 17.27
Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
US Virgin Islands travel to face Saint Martin on Saturday 26 September in the CONCACAF Nations League – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.
Current form
Saint Martin, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 8–0 win over Bahamas, away. The attack is flying at 4.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saint Martin 3.8 xG, US Virgin Islands 1.9 xG – a total near 5.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saint Martin 71%, draw 17%, US Virgin Islands 13%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 69%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (80%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saint Martin 3–1 US Virgin Islands. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saint Martin71%fair 1.41 · @1.12
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @9.00
US Virgin Islands13%fair 7.97 · @13.00
5.73Expected goals
3.84Saint Martin xG
1.89US Virgin Islands xG
69%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–16%
4–16%
3–25%
4–25%
2–15%
5–14%
From our goals model: Saint Martin 3.8 – 1.9 US Virgin Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Martin to win✗
71%
1.41
1.12
Double chance
Saint Martin or draw✗
87%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.46
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Saint Martin (draw no bet)✗
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Saint Martin -1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.40 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
2.00 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.30
First team to score
Saint Martin to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Saint Martin ahead at half-time✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Martin / FT Saint Martin✗
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
6%
17.27
–
Recent results
Saint Martin – last 3
WWW
23 Sep
@ Bahamas
8–0
W
30 Mar
@ Bonaire
3–0
W
26 Mar
vs Barbados
3–1
W
4.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
US Virgin Islands – last 1
W
25 Mar
vs American Samoa
5–2
W
5.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saint Martin and US Virgin Islands.
What is the prediction for Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands?
On our numbers Saint Martin have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and US Virgin Islands 13%.
How many goals will there be in Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands?
We expect about 5.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands?
Our predicted score is Saint Martin 3–1 US Virgin Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.7 goals in total.
When is Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands?
Saint Martin vs US Virgin Islands (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barbados2
St. Lucia0
Jamaica3
Guatemala2
Honduras2
Suriname3
El Salvador3
Martinique1
Montserrat3
British Virgin Islands0
St. Vincent Grenadines2
French Guyana1