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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aruba v Anguilla: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · Sir Vivian Richards Stadium

Aruba

WWLWW
3–2
FT

Anguilla

LLLW
Aruba 80%Draw 14%Anguilla 7% Expected goals 2.19 – 0.41
52%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultAruba to win ✓80% · @1.10
Double chanceAruba or draw ✓93% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗18% · fair 5.61

Aruba vs Anguilla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 5 October the CONCACAF Nations League brings Aruba against Anguilla at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.

Current form

Aruba, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Anguilla, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Anguilla, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Antigua and Barbuda, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Aruba, collecting 2.4 points per game to 0.8 for Anguilla.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Sep 2026) it ended Anguilla 0–2 Aruba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aruba 2.2 xG, Anguilla 0.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aruba 80%, draw 14%, Anguilla 7%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aruba 2–0 Anguilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aruba80%fair 1.26 · @1.10
Draw14%fair 7.26 · @8.50
Anguilla7%fair 15.21 · @26.00
2.60Expected goals
2.19Aruba xG
0.41Anguilla xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–018%
1–016%
3–013%
0–07%
2–17%
4–07%

From our goals model: Aruba 2.2 – 0.4 Anguilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAruba to win ✓80%1.261.10
Double chanceAruba or draw ✓93%1.071.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.941.80
Draw no betAruba (draw no bet) ✓92%1.08–
Asian handicapAruba -1 (Asian handicap)72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
First team to scoreAruba to score first78%1.28–
Half-time resultAruba ahead at half-time ✗55%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aruba / FT Aruba ✗53%1.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗18%5.61–

Recent results

Aruba – last 5

WWLWW
30 Sep@ Anguilla2–0W
24 Sepvs Antigua and Barbuda1–0W
7 Jun@ Curaçao0–4L
29 Marvs Liechtenstein4–1W
26 Marvs Mação4–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Anguilla – last 4

LLLW
2 Octvs Antigua and Barbuda0–3L
30 Sepvs Aruba0–2L
27 Sep@ Antigua and Barbuda0–5L
26 Mar@ Bahamas3–1W
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Sep 2026Anguilla v Aruba0–2
Aruba vs Anguilla head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Costa Rica2 Haiti0 134%2.50X21%3.50245%2.45 1.8–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.50 ✗
FT Nicaragua1 Dominican Republic2 113%4.33X21%4.00266%1.62 1.5–3.1xG X2Dominican Republic or draw 87%@1.20 ✓
FT Guadeloupe0 St. Lucia1 124%3.40X18%3.70257%1.91 1.4–2.3xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.60 ✗
FT Cuba2 St. Kitts and Nevis2 165%1.70X21%3.80214%4.20 2.6–1.2xG 1XCuba or draw 86%@1.20 ✓
FT Martinique1 El Salvador1 139%2.62X23%3.10238%2.50 1.8–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.67 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aruba vs Anguilla?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Aruba vs Anguilla?

On our numbers Aruba have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Anguilla 7%.

How many goals will there be in Aruba vs Anguilla?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aruba vs Anguilla?

Our predicted score is Aruba 2–0 Anguilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Aruba vs Anguilla?

Aruba vs Anguilla (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.