Cuba 65%Draw 21%St. Kitts and Nevis 14%Expected goals 2.61 – 1.22
86%
Betarazi pick
Cuba or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cuba to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCuba to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceCuba or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cuba welcome St. Kitts and Nevis to Hasely Crawford Stadium for a CONCACAF Nations League fixture on Monday 5 October (22:00 WAT).
Current form
Cuba, last 4: DWWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with St. Kitts and Nevis, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
St. Kitts and Nevis, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Cuba, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.4 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Oct 2026) it ended St. Kitts and Nevis 3–3 Cuba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cuba 2.6 xG, St. Kitts and Nevis 1.2 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cuba 65%, draw 21%, St. Kitts and Nevis 14%.
Lower-risk option: Cuba or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Cuba to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cuba or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cuba 2–1 St. Kitts and Nevis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cuba65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.80
St. Kitts and Nevis14%fair 7.31 · @4.20
3.83Expected goals
2.61Cuba xG
1.22St. Kitts and Nevis xG
66%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Cuba 2.6 – 1.2 St. Kitts and Nevis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
Our pick is Cuba or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
On our numbers Cuba have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Kitts and Nevis 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
Our predicted score is Cuba 2–1 St. Kitts and Nevis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Hasely Crawford Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aruba3
Anguilla2
Costa Rica2
Haiti0
Nicaragua1
Dominican Republic2
Guadeloupe0
St. Lucia1
Martinique1
El Salvador1