Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: St. Lucia to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSt. Lucia to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
St. Lucia travel to face Guadeloupe on Monday 5 October in the CONCACAF Nations League, with BFA Technical Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Guadeloupe, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to St. Lucia, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
St. Lucia, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Guadeloupe, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Oct 2026) it ended St. Lucia 3–0 Guadeloupe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadeloupe 1.4 xG, St. Lucia 2.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadeloupe 24%, draw 18%, St. Lucia 57%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: St. Lucia to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadeloupe 1–2 St. Lucia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadeloupe24%fair 4.12 · @3.40
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @3.70
St. Lucia57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
3.67Expected goals
1.41Guadeloupe xG
2.26St. Lucia xG
65%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–26%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Guadeloupe 1.4 – 2.3 St. Lucia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia?
On our numbers Guadeloupe have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 18% and St. Lucia 57%.
How many goals will there be in Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia?
Our predicted score is Guadeloupe 1–2 St. Lucia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia?
Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at BFA Technical Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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