Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Dominican Republic to win @ 1.62 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDominican Republic to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceDominican Republic or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 13.59
Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nicaragua welcome Dominican Republic to Nicaragua National Football Stadium for a CONCACAF Nations League fixture on Monday 5 October (03:00 WAT).
Current form
Nicaragua, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Costa Rica, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Dominican Republic, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Haiti, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Dominican Republic, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.2 for Nicaragua.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Sep 2026) it ended Dominican Republic 3–2 Nicaragua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nicaragua 1.5 xG, Dominican Republic 3.1 xG – a total near 4.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 84% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nicaragua 13%, draw 21%, Dominican Republic 66%.
Lower-risk option: Dominican Republic or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Dominican Republic to win @1.62 – the bookmaker implies 62%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dominican Republic or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nicaragua 1–3 Dominican Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nicaragua13%fair 7.51 · @4.33
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.00
Dominican Republic66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
4.67Expected goals
1.55Nicaragua xG
3.12Dominican Republic xG
66%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–37%
1–27%
1–46%
2–36%
2–25%
0–35%
From our goals model: Nicaragua 1.5 – 3.1 Dominican Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic?
Our pick is Dominican Republic or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic?
On our numbers Nicaragua have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dominican Republic 66%.
How many goals will there be in Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic?
Our predicted score is Nicaragua 1–3 Dominican Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic?
Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Nicaragua National Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aruba3
Anguilla2
Costa Rica2
Haiti0
Guadeloupe0
St. Lucia1
Cuba2
St. Kitts and Nevis2
Martinique1
El Salvador1