Costa Rica 34%Draw 21%Haiti 45%Expected goals 1.85 – 2.15
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Haiti to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHaiti to win ✗45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.75
Costa Rica vs Haiti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Haiti travel to face Costa Rica on Monday 5 October in the CONCACAF Nations League, with Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Costa Rica, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Nicaragua, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Haiti, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Dominican Republic, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Haiti, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Costa Rica.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Sep 2026) it ended Haiti 2–0 Costa Rica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Costa Rica 1.8 xG, Haiti 2.2 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Costa Rica 34%, draw 21%, Haiti 45%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Haiti to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Costa Rica 1–2 Haiti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Costa Rica34%fair 2.98 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Haiti45%fair 2.20 · @2.45
4.00Expected goals
1.85Costa Rica xG
2.15Haiti xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Costa Rica 1.8 – 2.2 Haiti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Costa Rica vs Haiti?
On our numbers Costa Rica have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Haiti 45%.
How many goals will there be in Costa Rica vs Haiti?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Costa Rica vs Haiti?
Our predicted score is Costa Rica 1–2 Haiti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Costa Rica vs Haiti?
Costa Rica vs Haiti (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aruba3
Anguilla2
Nicaragua1
Dominican Republic2
Guadeloupe0
St. Lucia1
Cuba2
St. Kitts and Nevis2
Martinique1
El Salvador1