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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bury Town v Spalding United: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Bury Town

WLWWL
1–1
FT

Spalding United

LWWWW
Bury Town 39%Draw 21%Spalding United 40% Expected goals 1.97 – 2.00
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultSpalding United to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.67
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.46

Bury Town vs Spalding United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spalding United travel to face Bury Town on Saturday 3 October in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Bury Town, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bishop's Stortford, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Spalding United, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chorley, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bury Town 2.0 xG, Spalding United 2.0 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bury Town 39%, draw 21%, Spalding United 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bury Town 1–2 Spalding United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bury Town39%fair 2.56 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Spalding United40%fair 2.50 · @2.10
3.97Expected goals
1.97Bury Town xG
2.00Spalding United xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–17%
1–27%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%

From our goals model: Bury Town 2.0 – 2.0 Spalding United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpalding United to win ✗40%2.502.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.66–
Draw no betSpalding United (draw no bet)51%1.98–
Asian handicapBury Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.511.67 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
First team to scoreSpalding United to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultSpalding United ahead at half-time ✗34%2.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spalding United / FT Spalding United ✗24%4.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.46–

Recent results

Bury Town – last 6

WLWWLW
29 Sep@ Bishop's Stortford2–1W
26 Sep@ St Albans City1–4L
22 Sepvs Hitchin Town1–0W
19 Sep@ Gorleston4–3W
12 Sep@ Bromsgrove Sporting0–1L
5 Sep@ London Lions4–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Spalding United – last 6

LWWWWD
26 Sep@ Chorley1–2L
19 Sepvs Hanley Town2–0W
12 Sepvs Bedford Town2–1W
8 Sep@ Spennymoor Town3–1W
5 Sepvs Southport2–0W
31 Aug@ South Shields1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bury Town and Spalding United.

Bury Town vs Spalding United head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Brentwood Town3 Dagenham & Redbridge1 117%5.00X17%4.75266%1.42 1.0–2.2xG 2Dagenham & Redbridge to win 66%@1.42 ✗
FT Barton Town Old Boys1 Chorley4 122%5.00X16%5.00262%1.40 0.8–1.7xG 2Chorley to win 62%@1.40 ✓
FT Brackley Town0 Chelmsford City2 140%2.50X23%3.20238%2.50 0.9–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.80 ✓
FT Bury2 Bromsgrove Sporting1 162%1.91X14%3.50224%3.20 2.5–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✓
FT Buxton0 South Shields2 130%3.00X21%3.50249%2.00 1.6–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Cambridge City1 Alvechurch2 124%3.60X15%3.60262%1.80 1.4–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.53 ✓
FT Chesham United4 Real Bedford3 142%2.15X21%3.40237%2.75 2.3–2.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.60 ✓
FT Ebbsfleet United1 Sholing2 167%1.28X17%5.50216%6.50 2.0–0.8xG 1Ebbsfleet United to win 67%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bury Town vs Spalding United?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Bury Town vs Spalding United?

On our numbers Bury Town have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spalding United 40%.

How many goals will there be in Bury Town vs Spalding United?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bury Town vs Spalding United?

Our predicted score is Bury Town 1–2 Spalding United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Bury Town vs Spalding United?

Bury Town vs Spalding United (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.