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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cambridge City v Alvechurch: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England
1–2
FT
Cambridge City 24%Draw 15%Alvechurch 62% Expected goals 1.36 – 2.33
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2

Value bet: Alvechurch to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAlvechurch to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.86

Cambridge City vs Alvechurch: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the FA Cup brings Cambridge City against Alvechurch. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Cambridge City, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Buckhurst Hill, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Alvechurch, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Stourbridge, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cambridge City 1.4 xG, Alvechurch 2.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cambridge City 24%, draw 15%, Alvechurch 62%.
  • Price worth noting: Alvechurch to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cambridge City 1–2 Alvechurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cambridge City24%fair 4.18 · @3.60
Draw15%fair 6.87 · @3.60
Alvechurch62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
3.70Expected goals
1.36Cambridge City xG
2.33Alvechurch xG
56%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: Cambridge City 1.4 – 2.3 Alvechurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlvechurch to win ✓62%1.621.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.78–
Draw no betAlvechurch (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapCambridge City +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.98–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
First team to scoreAlvechurch to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultAlvechurch ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alvechurch / FT Alvechurch ✗38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.86–

Recent results

Cambridge City – last 6

WLWDLW
19 Sepvs Buckhurst Hill3–1W
12 Sep@ Canvey Island2–3L
5 Sepvs Maldon & Tiptree6–1W
29 Augvs Redbridge1–1D
11 Julvs Cambridge United1–3L
6 Apr@ Takeley2–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Alvechurch – last 6

DLDWWW
29 Sepvs Stourbridge0–0D
26 Sepvs Bourne Town1–2L
22 Sep@ Anstey Nomads2–2D
19 Sepvs Racing Club Warwick3–1W
12 Sepvs Stamford4–0W
5 Sepvs Wolverhampton City2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cambridge City and Alvechurch.

Cambridge City vs Alvechurch head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cambridge City vs Alvechurch?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Cambridge City vs Alvechurch?

On our numbers Cambridge City have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Alvechurch 62%.

How many goals will there be in Cambridge City vs Alvechurch?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cambridge City vs Alvechurch?

Our predicted score is Cambridge City 1–2 Alvechurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Cambridge City vs Alvechurch?

Cambridge City vs Alvechurch (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.