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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Buxton v South Shields: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Buxton

LWWWL
0–2
FT
Buxton 30%Draw 21%South Shields 49% Expected goals 1.56 – 2.05
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouth Shields to win ✓49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.30

Buxton vs South Shields: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Buxton v South Shields in the FA Cup.

Current form

Buxton, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to South Shields, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

South Shields, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Brackley Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended South Shields 4–0 Buxton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Buxton 1.6 xG, South Shields 2.0 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Buxton 30%, draw 21%, South Shields 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buxton 1–2 South Shields. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Buxton30%fair 3.34 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
South Shields49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
3.61Expected goals
1.56Buxton xG
2.05South Shields xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–26%

From our goals model: Buxton 1.6 – 2.0 South Shields expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Shields to win ✓49%2.032.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.70–
Draw no betSouth Shields (draw no bet) ✓62%1.61–
Asian handicapBuxton +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.511.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
First team to scoreSouth Shields to score first ✓55%1.81–
Half-time resultSouth Shields ahead at half-time ✓38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Shields / FT South Shields ✓31%3.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.30–

Recent results

Buxton – last 6

LWWWLW
26 Sep@ South Shields0–4L
19 Sepvs Ashton United1–0W
12 Sepvs Chester3–1W
8 Sepvs Brackley Town5–0W
5 Sep@ Morecambe0–4L
31 Augvs Merthyr Town2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

South Shields – last 6

LWWLWW
29 Sep@ Brackley Town2–3L
26 Sepvs Buxton4–0W
19 Sepvs Witton Albion7–0W
12 Sep@ Hereford0–6L
8 Sepvs Marine2–1W
5 Sep@ Hednesford Town1–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Sep 2026South Shields v Buxton4–0
Buxton vs South Shields head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Buxton vs South Shields?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Buxton vs South Shields?

On our numbers Buxton have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and South Shields 49%.

How many goals will there be in Buxton vs South Shields?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Buxton vs South Shields?

Our predicted score is Buxton 1–2 South Shields, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Buxton vs South Shields?

Buxton vs South Shields (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.