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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chesham United v Real Bedford: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Chesham United

LWWLL
4–3
FT

Real Bedford

WLWWW
Chesham United 42%Draw 21%Real Bedford 37% Expected goals 2.26 – 2.10
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultChesham United to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.63

Chesham United vs Real Bedford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Chesham United v Real Bedford in the FA Cup.

Current form

Chesham United, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Maidenhead, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Real Bedford, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Leiston, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Real Bedford, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Chesham United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chesham United 2.3 xG, Real Bedford 2.1 xG – a total near 4.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chesham United 42%, draw 21%, Real Bedford 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.43, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesham United 2–2 Real Bedford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chesham United42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.40
Real Bedford37%fair 2.73 · @2.75
4.36Expected goals
2.26Chesham United xG
2.10Real Bedford xG
60%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
2–17%
1–26%
1–16%
3–25%
3–15%

From our goals model: Chesham United 2.3 – 2.1 Real Bedford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChesham United to win ✓42%2.362.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.67–
Draw no betChesham United (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapReal Bedford +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.60 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
First team to scoreChesham United to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultChesham United ahead at half-time ✓36%2.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chesham United / FT Chesham United ✓27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.63–

Recent results

Chesham United – last 6

LWWLLD
26 Sepvs Maidenhead0–4L
19 Sepvs Ware7–2W
12 Sep@ Horsham4–1W
8 Sepvs Billericay Town1–2L
5 Sep@ Truro City1–3L
31 Augvs Dover2–2D
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Real Bedford – last 6

WLWWWW
29 Sepvs Leiston3–2W
26 Sepvs Wingate & Finchley0–3L
22 Sep@ Stourbridge4–1W
19 Sep@ Harleston Town2–1W
12 Sepvs Redditch United2–1W
5 Sepvs Royston Town4–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Real Bedford.

Chesham United vs Real Bedford head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Brentwood Town3 Dagenham & Redbridge1 117%5.00X17%4.75266%1.42 1.0–2.2xG 2Dagenham & Redbridge to win 66%@1.42 ✗
FT Barton Town Old Boys1 Chorley4 122%5.00X16%5.00262%1.40 0.8–1.7xG 2Chorley to win 62%@1.40 ✓
FT Brackley Town0 Chelmsford City2 140%2.50X23%3.20238%2.50 0.9–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.80 ✓
FT Bury2 Bromsgrove Sporting1 162%1.91X14%3.50224%3.20 2.5–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✓
FT Bury Town1 Spalding United1 139%2.80X21%3.50240%2.10 2.0–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.67 ✗
FT Buxton0 South Shields2 130%3.00X21%3.50249%2.00 1.6–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Cambridge City1 Alvechurch2 124%3.60X15%3.60262%1.80 1.4–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.53 ✓
FT Ebbsfleet United1 Sholing2 167%1.28X17%5.50216%6.50 2.0–0.8xG 1Ebbsfleet United to win 67%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Real Bedford?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Chesham United vs Real Bedford?

On our numbers Chesham United have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Bedford 37%.

How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Real Bedford?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs Real Bedford?

Our predicted score is Chesham United 2–2 Real Bedford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.

When is Chesham United vs Real Bedford?

Chesham United vs Real Bedford (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.