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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AFC Rushden & Diamonds v Morecambe: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

WWWLD
2–1
FT

Morecambe

LWDWW
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20%Draw 20%Morecambe 60% Expected goals 1.06 – 2.02
60%
Betarazi pick

Morecambe to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultMorecambe to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06

AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Morecambe travel to face AFC Rushden & Diamonds on Saturday 17 October in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

AFC Rushden & Diamonds, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Braintree, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Morecambe, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Worksop Town, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1.1 xG, Morecambe 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20%, draw 20%, Morecambe 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Morecambe to win (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1–2 Morecambe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Rushden & Diamonds20%fair 4.99 · @3.75
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.90
Morecambe60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
3.07Expected goals
1.06AFC Rushden & Diamonds xG
2.02Morecambe xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1.1 – 2.0 Morecambe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMorecambe to win ✗60%1.661.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betMorecambe (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapAFC Rushden & Diamonds +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreMorecambe to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultMorecambe ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Morecambe / FT Morecambe ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

AFC Rushden & Diamonds – last 6

WWWLDD
3 Octvs Braintree2–1W
19 Sepvs Peterborough Sports3–1W
5 Sep@ Desborough Town3–0W
29 Aug@ Chasetown1–3L
10 Julvs Milton Keynes Irish2–2D
3 Aprvs Mickleover Sports0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Morecambe – last 6

LWDWWL
10 Oct@ Worksop Town1–2L
3 Octvs Darlington 18833–0W
26 Sep@ Oxford City1–1D
19 Sepvs Southport2–0W
12 Sepvs Brackley Town3–0W
8 Sep@ Southport1–2L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AFC Rushden & Diamonds and Morecambe.

AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Bury1 Harrogate Town1 122%3.40X21%3.70256%1.83 1.7–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.53 ✗
FT Altrincham0 United of Manchester0 168%1.33X20%4.50212%7.00 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✗
FT Barrow0 Gloucester City0 167%1.42X19%4.10214%6.00 2.1–0.8xG 1Barrow to win 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Boreham Wood3 Woking2 166%1.45X18%4.20216%5.75 2.3–1.0xG 1Boreham Wood to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Boston United1 Scunthorpe3 148%2.20X21%3.50232%2.70 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✓
FT Carlisle2 Tamworth1 161%1.53X20%4.00220%5.00 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesham United0 Forest Green0 118%3.90X24%3.75258%1.70 2.2–3.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.44 ✗
FT Chorley1 Worcester City1 164%1.53X20%3.80216%5.00 2.0–0.9xG 1Chorley to win 64%@1.53 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe?

Our pick is Morecambe to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe?

On our numbers AFC Rushden & Diamonds have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Morecambe 60%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe?

Our predicted score is AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1–2 Morecambe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe?

AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.