Chesham United 18%Draw 24%Forest Green 58%Expected goals 2.18 – 3.48
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultForest Green to win ✗58% · @1.70
Double chanceForest Green or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.58
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–3 ✗6% · fair 17.21
Chesham United vs Forest Green: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the FA Cup brings Chesham United against Forest Green. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Chesham United, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Chelmsford City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Forest Green, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Hartlepool, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Chesham United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Forest Green.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesham United 2.2 xG, Forest Green 3.5 xG – a total near 5.7. That is an open game on paper: 78% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesham United 18%, draw 24%, Forest Green 58%.
Lower-risk option: Forest Green or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesham United 2–3 Forest Green. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesham United18%fair 5.70 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.75
Forest Green58%fair 1.71 · @1.70
5.66Expected goals
2.18Chesham United xG
3.48Forest Green xG
63%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–36%
1–35%
2–45%
2–25%
1–45%
1–25%
From our goals model: Chesham United 2.2 – 3.5 Forest Green expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forest Green to win✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Double chance
Forest Green or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
–
Draw no bet
Forest Green (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Forest Green -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.44 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
First team to score
Forest Green to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Forest Green ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forest Green / FT Forest Green✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–3✗
6%
17.21
–
Recent results
Chesham United – last 6
LWLWWL
10 Oct
vs Chelmsford City
0–5
L
3 Oct
vs Real Bedford
4–3
W
26 Sep
vs Maidenhead
0–4
L
19 Sep
vs Ware
7–2
W
12 Sep
@ Horsham
4–1
W
8 Sep
vs Billericay Town
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Forest Green – last 6
LDDLDW
10 Oct
vs Hartlepool
2–4
L
29 Sep
vs Wealdstone
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Sutton Utd
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Boston United
1–3
L
15 Sep
@ Carlisle
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Gateshead
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Forest Green.
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Forest Green?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Chesham United vs Forest Green?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Forest Green 58%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Forest Green?
We expect about 5.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs Forest Green?
Our predicted score is Chesham United 2–3 Forest Green, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.7 goals in total.
When is Chesham United vs Forest Green?
Chesham United vs Forest Green (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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