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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chorley v Worcester City: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Chorley

WWWWL
1–1
FT

Worcester City

LLWDL
Chorley 64%Draw 20%Worcester City 16% Expected goals 1.98 – 0.87
64%
Betarazi pick

Chorley to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultChorley to win ✗64% · @1.53
Double chanceChorley or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.39

Chorley vs Worcester City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Chorley v Worcester City in the FA Cup.

Current form

Chorley, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AFC Telford United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Worcester City, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Stourbridge, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Chorley, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Worcester City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chorley 2.0 xG, Worcester City 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chorley 64%, draw 20%, Worcester City 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chorley to win (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chorley 1–0 Worcester City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chorley64%fair 1.57 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.80
Worcester City16%fair 6.13 · @5.00
2.85Expected goals
1.98Chorley xG
0.87Worcester City xG
46%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Chorley 2.0 – 0.9 Worcester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChorley to win ✗64%1.571.53
Double chanceChorley or draw ✓84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.85–
Draw no betChorley (draw no bet)80%1.26–
Asian handicapChorley -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreChorley to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultChorley ahead at half-time ✓46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chorley / FT Chorley ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%13.39–

Recent results

Chorley – last 6

WWWWLW
10 Octvs AFC Telford United2–1W
3 Oct@ Barton Town Old Boys4–1W
26 Sepvs Spalding United2–1W
19 Sep@ Rylands1–0W
12 Sep@ King's Lynn Town0–2L
8 Sepvs Darlington 18835–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Worcester City – last 6

LLWDLD
13 Octvs Stourbridge1–3L
10 Oct@ Rushall Olympic0–1L
3 Oct@ Kettering Town3–1W
29 Sep@ Racing Club Warwick2–2D
26 Sepvs Leek Town0–2L
22 Sepvs Banbury United0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chorley and Worcester City.

Chorley vs Worcester City head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Bury1 Harrogate Town1 122%3.40X21%3.70256%1.83 1.7–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.53 ✗
FT AFC Rushden & Diamonds2 Morecambe1 120%3.75X20%3.90260%1.67 1.1–2.0xG 2Morecambe to win 60%@1.67 ✗
FT Altrincham0 United of Manchester0 168%1.33X20%4.50212%7.00 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✗
FT Barrow0 Gloucester City0 167%1.42X19%4.10214%6.00 2.1–0.8xG 1Barrow to win 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Boreham Wood3 Woking2 166%1.45X18%4.20216%5.75 2.3–1.0xG 1Boreham Wood to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Boston United1 Scunthorpe3 148%2.20X21%3.50232%2.70 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✓
FT Carlisle2 Tamworth1 161%1.53X20%4.00220%5.00 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesham United0 Forest Green0 118%3.90X24%3.75258%1.70 2.2–3.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chorley vs Worcester City?

Our pick is Chorley to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Chorley vs Worcester City?

On our numbers Chorley have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Worcester City 16%.

How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Worcester City?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chorley vs Worcester City?

Our predicted score is Chorley 1–0 Worcester City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Chorley vs Worcester City?

Chorley vs Worcester City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.