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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dover v Dorking Wanderers: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Dover

DWWWW
3–2
FT
Dover 34%Draw 20%Dorking Wanderers 46% Expected goals 1.84 – 2.13
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultDorking Wanderers to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.67

Dover vs Dorking Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the FA Cup brings Dover against Dorking Wanderers. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Dover, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dorking Wanderers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Dorking Wanderers, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dover, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Dover, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Dorking Wanderers.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Oct 2026) it ended Dover 1–1 Dorking Wanderers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dover 1.8 xG, Dorking Wanderers 2.1 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dover 34%, draw 20%, Dorking Wanderers 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dover 1–2 Dorking Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dover34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Dorking Wanderers46%fair 2.20 · @2.00
3.96Expected goals
1.84Dover xG
2.13Dorking Wanderers xG
58%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: Dover 1.8 – 2.1 Dorking Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDorking Wanderers to win ✗46%2.202.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.72–
Draw no betDorking Wanderers (draw no bet) ✗57%1.76–
Asian handicapDover +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
First team to scoreDorking Wanderers to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultDorking Wanderers ahead at half-time ✗37%2.72–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dorking Wanderers / FT Dorking Wanderers ✗28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.67–

Recent results

Dover – last 6

DWWWWW
10 Octvs Dorking Wanderers1–1D
3 Oct@ Hanwell Town2–1W
26 Sepvs AFC Totton2–0W
19 Sepvs Folkestone Invicta4–2W
12 Sep@ Farnborough1–0W
8 Sep@ Dagenham & Redbridge1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dorking Wanderers – last 6

DWWDDD
10 Oct@ Dover1–1D
3 Octvs Chatham Town1–0W
26 Sepvs Braintree4–3W
20 Sep@ Southall2–2D
12 Sep@ Torquay2–2D
8 Sepvs Chelmsford City3–3D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Oct 2026Dover v Dorking Wanderers1–1
Dover vs Dorking Wanderers head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?

On our numbers Dover have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dorking Wanderers 46%.

How many goals will there be in Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Dover 1–2 Dorking Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?

Dover vs Dorking Wanderers (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.