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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Harborough Town v Spennymoor Town: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Harborough Town

WWLWD
3–1
FT

Spennymoor Town

LWDWD
Harborough Town 61%Draw 22%Spennymoor Town 17% Expected goals 2.18 – 1.09
61%
Betarazi pick

Harborough Town to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultHarborough Town to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceHarborough Town or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spennymoor Town travel to face Harborough Town on Saturday 17 October in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Harborough Town, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Southport, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Spennymoor Town, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Brackley Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Harborough Town 2.2 xG, Spennymoor Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Harborough Town 61%, draw 22%, Spennymoor Town 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Harborough Town or draw (83%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Harborough Town to win (61%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harborough Town 2–1 Spennymoor Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Harborough Town61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.80
Spennymoor Town17%fair 5.98 · @4.00
3.27Expected goals
2.18Harborough Town xG
1.09Spennymoor Town xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Harborough Town 2.2 – 1.1 Spennymoor Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHarborough Town to win ✓61%1.641.67
Double chanceHarborough Town or draw ✓83%1.201.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.95–
Draw no betHarborough Town (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapHarborough Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreHarborough Town to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultHarborough Town ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Harborough Town / FT Harborough Town ✓40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Harborough Town – last 6

WWLWDL
10 Octvs Southport1–0W
3 Octvs St Albans City3–2W
26 Sep@ Macclesfield0–1L
19 Sepvs Rushall Olympic1–0W
12 Sepvs AFC Telford United0–0D
8 Sepvs Hereford0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Spennymoor Town – last 6

LWDWDL
10 Oct@ Brackley Town1–2L
3 Octvs Chester4–1W
26 Sep@ Southport2–2D
19 Sep@ AFC Emley4–0W
12 Sepvs Macclesfield1–1D
8 Sepvs Spalding United1–3L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Harborough Town and Spennymoor Town.

Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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FT Bury1 Harrogate Town1 122%3.40X21%3.70256%1.83 1.7–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.53 ✗
FT AFC Rushden & Diamonds2 Morecambe1 120%3.75X20%3.90260%1.67 1.1–2.0xG 2Morecambe to win 60%@1.67 ✗
FT Altrincham0 United of Manchester0 168%1.33X20%4.50212%7.00 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✗
FT Barrow0 Gloucester City0 167%1.42X19%4.10214%6.00 2.1–0.8xG 1Barrow to win 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Boreham Wood3 Woking2 166%1.45X18%4.20216%5.75 2.3–1.0xG 1Boreham Wood to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Boston United1 Scunthorpe3 148%2.20X21%3.50232%2.70 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✓
FT Carlisle2 Tamworth1 161%1.53X20%4.00220%5.00 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesham United0 Forest Green0 118%3.90X24%3.75258%1.70 2.2–3.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town?

Our pick is Harborough Town to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town?

On our numbers Harborough Town have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spennymoor Town 17%.

How many goals will there be in Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town?

Our predicted score is Harborough Town 2–1 Spennymoor Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town?

Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.