Wednesday 11 November 2026 18 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hartlepool v Marine: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Hartlepool

LWLLL
0–2
FT

Marine

WWWWW
Hartlepool 61%Draw 24%Marine 16% Expected goals 2.17 – 1.07
60%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultHartlepool to win ✗61% · @1.50
Double chanceHartlepool or draw ✗84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Hartlepool vs Marine: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Hartlepool v Marine in the FA Cup.

Current form

Hartlepool, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Newcastle United U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Marine, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Spalding United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Marine, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Hartlepool.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hartlepool 2.2 xG, Marine 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hartlepool 61%, draw 24%, Marine 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartlepool 2–1 Marine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hartlepool61%fair 1.65 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @4.10
Marine16%fair 6.33 · @5.00
3.24Expected goals
2.17Hartlepool xG
1.07Marine xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Hartlepool 2.2 – 1.1 Marine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHartlepool to win ✗61%1.651.50
Double chanceHartlepool or draw ✗84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.88–
Draw no betHartlepool (draw no bet) ✗79%1.26–
Asian handicapHartlepool -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
First team to scoreHartlepool to score first ✗64%1.55–
Half-time resultHartlepool ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Hartlepool – last 6

LWLLLL
13 Octvs Newcastle United U211–2L
10 Oct@ Forest Green4–2W
3 Octvs Tamworth0–1L
29 Sepvs Harrogate Town0–1L
26 Sep@ Scunthorpe1–4L
19 Sepvs Worthing1–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Marine – last 6

WWWWWL
10 Octvs Spalding United1–0W
3 Octvs Warrington Town2–0W
26 Sep@ Merthyr Town2–1W
19 Sepvs Radcliffe3–2W
12 Sepvs Darlington 18832–1W
8 Sep@ South Shields1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Marine.

Hartlepool vs Marine head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Bury1 Harrogate Town1 122%3.40X21%3.70256%1.83 1.7–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.53 ✗
FT AFC Rushden & Diamonds2 Morecambe1 120%3.75X20%3.90260%1.67 1.1–2.0xG 2Morecambe to win 60%@1.67 ✗
FT Altrincham0 United of Manchester0 168%1.33X20%4.50212%7.00 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✗
FT Barrow0 Gloucester City0 167%1.42X19%4.10214%6.00 2.1–0.8xG 1Barrow to win 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Boreham Wood3 Woking2 166%1.45X18%4.20216%5.75 2.3–1.0xG 1Boreham Wood to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Boston United1 Scunthorpe3 148%2.20X21%3.50232%2.70 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✓
FT Carlisle2 Tamworth1 161%1.53X20%4.00220%5.00 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesham United0 Forest Green0 118%3.90X24%3.75258%1.70 2.2–3.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Marine?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Hartlepool vs Marine?

On our numbers Hartlepool have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Marine 16%.

How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Marine?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Marine?

Our predicted score is Hartlepool 2–1 Marine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Hartlepool vs Marine?

Hartlepool vs Marine (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.