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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leiston v Guiseley AFC: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Leiston

DWLLL
0–3
FT

Guiseley AFC

WWWLW
Leiston 23%Draw 16%Guiseley AFC 61% Expected goals 1.10 – 2.01
61%
Betarazi pick

Guiseley AFC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultGuiseley AFC to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09

Leiston vs Guiseley AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the FA Cup brings Leiston against Guiseley AFC. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Leiston, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Racing Club Warwick, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Guiseley AFC, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Avro, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Guiseley AFC, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Leiston.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leiston 1.1 xG, Guiseley AFC 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leiston 23%, draw 16%, Guiseley AFC 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Guiseley AFC to win (61%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leiston 1–2 Guiseley AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leiston23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Draw16%fair 6.18 · @3.60
Guiseley AFC61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
3.12Expected goals
1.10Leiston xG
2.01Guiseley AFC xG
52%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Leiston 1.1 – 2.0 Guiseley AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuiseley AFC to win ✓61%1.641.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betGuiseley AFC (draw no bet) ✓73%1.38–
Asian handicapLeiston +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
First team to scoreGuiseley AFC to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultGuiseley AFC ahead at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guiseley AFC / FT Guiseley AFC ✓37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.09–

Recent results

Leiston – last 6

DWLLLW
10 Oct@ Racing Club Warwick0–0D
3 Octvs Coventry United3–1W
29 Sep@ Real Bedford2–3L
26 Sepvs Dartford0–3L
22 Sepvs Peterborough Sports0–2L
19 Sep@ Hitchin Town2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Guiseley AFC – last 6

WWWLWW
10 Oct@ Avro1–0W
6 Oct@ Ilkeston Town2–0W
3 Octvs Bradford (Park Avenue)1–0W
29 Sep@ Alfreton Town0–1L
26 Sepvs Bamber Bridge4–2W
19 Sep@ Hebburn Town4–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leiston and Guiseley AFC.

Leiston vs Guiseley AFC head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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FT AFC Rushden & Diamonds2 Morecambe1 120%3.75X20%3.90260%1.67 1.1–2.0xG 2Morecambe to win 60%@1.67 ✗
FT Altrincham0 United of Manchester0 168%1.33X20%4.50212%7.00 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✗
FT Barrow0 Gloucester City0 167%1.42X19%4.10214%6.00 2.1–0.8xG 1Barrow to win 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Boreham Wood3 Woking2 166%1.45X18%4.20216%5.75 2.3–1.0xG 1Boreham Wood to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Boston United1 Scunthorpe3 148%2.20X21%3.50232%2.70 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✓
FT Carlisle2 Tamworth1 161%1.53X20%4.00220%5.00 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesham United0 Forest Green0 118%3.90X24%3.75258%1.70 2.2–3.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?

Our pick is Guiseley AFC to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?

On our numbers Leiston have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Guiseley AFC 61%.

How many goals will there be in Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?

Our predicted score is Leiston 1–2 Guiseley AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?

Leiston vs Guiseley AFC (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.