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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Plymouth Parkway v Chertsey Town: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Plymouth Parkway

WLWDL
2–0
FT

Chertsey Town

DDWLD
Plymouth Parkway 59%Draw 15%Chertsey Town 26% Expected goals 1.98 – 1.18
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Plymouth Parkway to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPlymouth Parkway to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Plymouth Parkway welcome Chertsey Town for a FA Cup fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Plymouth Parkway, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Wimborne Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Chertsey Town, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hanwell Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Plymouth Parkway, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Chertsey Town.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Plymouth Parkway 3–1 Chertsey Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Plymouth Parkway 2.0 xG, Chertsey Town 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Plymouth Parkway 59%, draw 15%, Chertsey Town 26%.
  • Price worth noting: Plymouth Parkway to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plymouth Parkway 2–1 Chertsey Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Plymouth Parkway59%fair 1.69 · @1.90
Draw15%fair 6.75 · @3.70
Chertsey Town26%fair 3.86 · @3.20
3.16Expected goals
1.98Plymouth Parkway xG
1.18Chertsey Town xG
54%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Plymouth Parkway 2.0 – 1.2 Chertsey Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlymouth Parkway to win ✓59%1.691.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.171.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.86–
Draw no betPlymouth Parkway (draw no bet) ✓70%1.44–
Asian handicapChertsey Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.591.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scorePlymouth Parkway to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultPlymouth Parkway ahead at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Plymouth Parkway / FT Plymouth Parkway ✗35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Plymouth Parkway – last 6

WLWDLW
13 Octvs Wimborne Town2–1W
10 Oct@ Chichester City1–3L
3 Octvs Horsham2–1W
29 Sep@ Gloucester City1–1D
26 Sepvs Bath City0–3L
22 Sepvs Frome Town2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chertsey Town – last 6

DDWLDD
13 Oct@ Hanwell Town1–1D
10 Octvs Chippenham Town2–2D
3 Oct@ Sheppey United2–0W
29 Sepvs Poole Town1–3L
26 Sep@ Welling United2–2D
22 Sep@ Chichester City2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026Plymouth Parkway v Chertsey Town3–1
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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FT Altrincham0 United of Manchester0 168%1.33X20%4.50212%7.00 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✗
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FT Boreham Wood3 Woking2 166%1.45X18%4.20216%5.75 2.3–1.0xG 1Boreham Wood to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Boston United1 Scunthorpe3 148%2.20X21%3.50232%2.70 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✓
FT Carlisle2 Tamworth1 161%1.53X20%4.00220%5.00 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesham United0 Forest Green0 118%3.90X24%3.75258%1.70 2.2–3.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

On our numbers Plymouth Parkway have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Chertsey Town 26%.

How many goals will there be in Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

Our predicted score is Plymouth Parkway 2–1 Chertsey Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.