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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Southend v Berkhamsted: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Southend

WWDLW
1–2
FT

Berkhamsted

WWLWL
Southend 71%Draw 17%Berkhamsted 12% Expected goals 2.62 – 1.04
71%
Betarazi pick

Southend to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouthend to win ✗71% · @1.28
Double chanceSouthend or draw ✗88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Southend vs Berkhamsted: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Berkhamsted travel to face Southend on Saturday 17 October in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Southend, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Boston United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Berkhamsted, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Yate Town, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Southend 2.6 xG, Berkhamsted 1.0 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Southend 71%, draw 17%, Berkhamsted 12%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Southend to win (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southend 2–1 Berkhamsted. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Southend71%fair 1.42 · @1.28
Draw17%fair 5.85 · @5.20
Berkhamsted12%fair 8.09 · @7.00
3.66Expected goals
2.62Southend xG
1.04Berkhamsted xG
53%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Southend 2.6 – 1.0 Berkhamsted expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouthend to win ✗71%1.421.28
Double chanceSouthend or draw ✗88%1.141.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betSouthend (draw no bet) ✗85%1.18–
Asian handicapSouthend -1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%1.99–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
First team to scoreSouthend to score first70%1.44–
Half-time resultSouthend ahead at half-time ✗53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Southend / FT Southend ✗48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Southend – last 6

WWDLWW
10 Oct@ Boston United2–1W
3 Octvs AFC Fylde3–1W
30 Sep@ Eastleigh1–1D
26 Sepvs Barrow2–4L
19 Sep@ Gateshead6–1W
15 Sepvs Tamworth3–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Berkhamsted – last 6

WWLWLW
10 Oct@ Yate Town3–0W
3 Oct@ Redditch United2–0W
29 Sep@ Sholing0–2L
26 Sepvs Chatham Town3–1W
22 Sepvs Hanworth Villa1–2L
19 Sepvs Hendon4–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Southend and Berkhamsted.

Southend vs Berkhamsted head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Bury1 Harrogate Town1 122%3.40X21%3.70256%1.83 1.7–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.53 ✗
FT AFC Rushden & Diamonds2 Morecambe1 120%3.75X20%3.90260%1.67 1.1–2.0xG 2Morecambe to win 60%@1.67 ✗
FT Altrincham0 United of Manchester0 168%1.33X20%4.50212%7.00 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✗
FT Barrow0 Gloucester City0 167%1.42X19%4.10214%6.00 2.1–0.8xG 1Barrow to win 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Boreham Wood3 Woking2 166%1.45X18%4.20216%5.75 2.3–1.0xG 1Boreham Wood to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Boston United1 Scunthorpe3 148%2.20X21%3.50232%2.70 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✓
FT Carlisle2 Tamworth1 161%1.53X20%4.00220%5.00 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesham United0 Forest Green0 118%3.90X24%3.75258%1.70 2.2–3.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Southend vs Berkhamsted?

Our pick is Southend to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Southend vs Berkhamsted?

On our numbers Southend have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Berkhamsted 12%.

How many goals will there be in Southend vs Berkhamsted?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Southend vs Berkhamsted?

Our predicted score is Southend 2–1 Berkhamsted, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Southend vs Berkhamsted?

Southend vs Berkhamsted (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.